Tag: GA-8

Unraveling GA-8

Here we are a week out from Austin Scott’s victory over incumbent Congressman Jim Marshall and what a better time to reflect upon this campaign. How did Scott manage to do what Calder Clay, Mac Collins, and Rick Goddard couldn’t do? One could say that Austin just rode the wave crossing the country – but I think that theory is lacking.

Mac Collins attempted to tie Marshall to his national party – didn’t work. Rick Goddard tried to tie Marshall to Nancy Pelosi – didn’t work. The anti-Pelosi backlash surely had something to do with Scott’s victory, but he had to tie Marshall to Pelosi and that required work on his part. Ultimately Marshall’s downfall was his failure to define himself. Looking at his voting record, Marshall is a moderate in a sea of extremes. Some votes conservative, some liberal. But two weeks out, Jim Marshall was making commercials and speeches saying he wouldn’t vote for Nancy Pelosi. Distancing himself from the Speaker of the House. Some people pointed out that in 2008, he stated that it didn’t matter who he voted for Speaker. That argument didn’t catch much traction, but it appears the damage had already been done. Marshall had been tied to Nancy Pelosi.

As I drove through GA-8 on my daily 140 mile roundtrip commute, I noticed something that I had never seen before in this district. Signs. Ok, so I have always seen signs in this district. But these signs were different. In 2008, I can count the number of signs I saw in Dodge County and Bleckley County for Rick Goddard on one hand. Austin’s team pushed signs out and had them everywhere, not just Houston. But there was more than just Scott and Marshall signs. Two of the more notable homemade signs I saw read: “JIM MARSHALL = NANCY PELOSI ‘NUFF SAID” and “FIRE NANCY PELOSI, VOTE OUT MARSHALL.” A lot of people question the effectiveness of yard signs, I think they are good tools and I think they really helped push Austin to victory.

I would be remiss if I didn’t talk about the candidates, both of them worked hard. Marshall had his people on the ground moving and Scott himself was working the phones early on. Listening to Marshall speak after conceding, it should be clear to everyone that he has a sharp political mind and I honestly doubt his political life is over.

All of that said, Scott won not just because he tied Marshall to Pelosi but because he’s a good candidate and fought hard. Victory wasn’t won in one large county, in Houston Scott barely beat Marshall. In Bibb, Scott was soundly defeated by Marshall. But in counties like Pulaski, Bleckley, Wilcox, and Dodge – that is where Austin got his win. In Dodge County, Austin won 3 out of every 5 votes casted to Marshal’s 2. Previously Dodge had been a solid Democratic Party voting county. Dodge is like a lot of rural counties in this state, rich with local offices filled by Democrats – that’s something that has been changing in recent years. As rural Georgians identify more and more with Republicans, the harder it will be to run as a conservative Democrat.

GA-8 wasn’t won simply because of a national tide against Democrats. It was won through hard work and shifting partisan identification in rural Georgia.

New York Times FiveThirtyEight: Austin Scott 87.8% Chance of Winning GA-8

As of October 25, Nate Silver of the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog has moved Austin Scott‘s chances of winning to 87.8%, up 64% last week.

Democratic Incumbent Jim Marshall is projected to have only a 12.2% chance of keeping his seat.

Silver’s projected election result for GA-8 is Scott 54.4% Marshall 45.6%

This is awesome news for the Scott campaign who continue to push hard towards the November elections. I wish them luck and will be doing everything I can to make sure they are victorious b/c it will help us all in the long run.

Boehner Promises GA Republicans Committee Posts if GOP Take House

Politico reports on Minority Leader John Boehner’s appearances in South Georgia this week.

House Minority Leader John Boehner promised two Republican candidates choice committee spots this week.

Boehner, speaking Tuesday in Centerville, Ga., said he would commit “to do everything I can to make sure” Austin Scott, the Republican running against Rep. Jim Marshall (D-Ga.), gets a spot on the Armed Services committee, according to a video posted on a local news source’s website.

Mike Keown, the Republican running against Rep. Sanford Bishop (D-Ga.), said Tuesday that the Ohio Republican committed to him a seat on the Agriculture committee.

“We will have a seat at the table and with a Republican majority, we’ll have a strong voice as we address farm issues,” Keown said, according to the local Fox affiliate.

POLITICO: Dems backed by group DCCC attacked

From Politico:

National Democrats have charged that a House candidate endorsed by a controversial anti-immigration group has “Nazi ties” — but six other congressional Democrats also have the group’s endorsement, and at least one has enthusiastically embraced its support.

The group, Americans for Legal Immigration, or ALIPAC, supports candidates and incumbents who oppose creating a path to citizenship for the thousands of undocumented immigrants in the United States. The Anti-Defamation League has criticized ALIPAC for what it says is support from white supremacist and racist groups. Read more

Marshall on why he’s keeping Pelosi’s $46K: “It helped me stay in Congress.”

Script:

KELLY: I want to ask you this, because your opponent has apparently said that he is going to call for you – given your position – to return the $46,000 that Pelosi and her political action committee has given to you. Given this position and this ad, I want to give you the chance to respond to that, sir.

MARSHALL: I don’t know how much money over the years Speaker Pelosi has contributed to my campaigns – it’s a substantial amount of money and I won’t challenge that total – but that’s all in the past. I’ve not taken any money from Speaker Pelosi during the current cycle, and none of the money I have in my campaign account has come from Speaker Pelosi, so I don’t really have any of that money to return. I’m thankful she contributed to me in the past, it helped me stay in Congress. I’m a centrist, I’m an American. Basically, Americans should want more people in Congress like me, and I appreciate Speaker Pelosi helping me stay here.

Scott AGAIN Outraises Marshall

Politico.com has an article up on GOP challengers outraising Democratic incumbents. Georgia’s own Austin Scott outraised incumbent Jim Marshall $460,000 to $299,000. Momentum continues to build for the Scott campaign and I will continue doing what I can to make sure they are victorious on November 2nd. This fundraising period (the last before the election) was an important one. Austin outraising Marshall sends a clear message that a contender could take out the “champ” in this race. I’m rooting for Austin, helping him, and I hope you will as well. Donations, phone calls, and a strong grassroots push will help make sure that this independent thinker is placed in Congress.

Our country, and our state will be better off if we can get Austin Scott elected to Congress. I hope you’ll join me. Check out http://www.scottforga.com to see where he stands on the issues.

Event Reminder

Full Disclosure: I’m a sponsor to this event; I’ll be there.

Austin Scott Young Professionals Event PDF. For those without Adobe or other PDF viewers the info is below:

When: Monday, October 11, 2010 7:00pm-9:00pm

Sponsor cost: $150 for Gold, $100 for Silver or $25/person (this includes beer, wine, and appetizers)

Where: Home of Brad and Michelle Carver, 4219 Beverly Lane NE, Atlanta, GA 30342

Come join the Metro area’s finest Young Professionals as they support State Rep. Austin Scott, the Eighth District’s next Congressman! If you are interested in serving as a Sponsor, please let us know by Friday, Oct. 8 so you can receive recognition at the event.

Questions? RSVP? Contact Cameron Fash at 404.259.8922 or [email protected]

To contribute online please visit www.scottforga.com

I hope many show up to this event. Though some on here aren’t in the 8th and can’t vote for Austin, you can contribute and “vote with your dollar”. Even if some can’t make it tonight, feel free to donate your $25 anyway at http://www.scottforga.com. The election is getting close and a final push will be critical.

That said, everyone needs to tune into the Braves game at some point. Let’s hope Conrad doesn’t blow this one for us. Hinske is still the man.

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FreedomWorks PAC Endorses Austin Scott

From a press release:

Washington, DC- Today, FreedomWorks PAC officially endorsed Austin Scott in the Georgia District 8 Congressional race as the clear choice for limited government voters in that state.

FreedomWorks PAC believes that Austin Scott’s promises to protect the Constitution and fight on behalf of taxpayers against runaway government spending and the continuous erosion of our fundamental freedoms will propel him to victory in the November 2nd general election.

Scott will be an important vote in the next Congress on behalf of core limited government issues. And his leadership in combating the big government agenda of the liberal establishment will be critical to FreedomWorks’ overarching mission to “Take America Back” on behalf of freedom starting on November 3, 2010.

FreedomWorks PAC is supporting endorsed candidates through Get Out The Vote (GOTV) efforts, including direct mailings, yard sign distribution, volunteer phone banks and neighborhood literature drops leading up to election day.

“We are pleased to add Austin Scott to our list of endorsed candidates this election season,” commented Matt Kibbe, President of FreedomWorks PAC. “After evaluating the candidates in this race, we believe that Austin Scott will best serve the interests of hardworking Georgia taxpayers by advocating the principles of lower taxes, less government and more individual freedom.”

For more information about this race and others that FreedomWorks PAC will be targeting in 2010 as part of the Take America Back campaign, please visit the PAC website, http://FreedomWorksPAC.org/ or contact FreedomWorks PAC Managing Director Rob Jordan at (202) 942-7624.