Author: Tyler

New York Times FiveThirtyEight: Austin Scott 87.8% Chance of Winning GA-8

As of October 25, Nate Silver of the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog has moved Austin Scott‘s chances of winning to 87.8%, up 64% last week.

Democratic Incumbent Jim Marshall is projected to have only a 12.2% chance of keeping his seat.

Silver’s projected election result for GA-8 is Scott 54.4% Marshall 45.6%

This is awesome news for the Scott campaign who continue to push hard towards the November elections. I wish them luck and will be doing everything I can to make sure they are victorious b/c it will help us all in the long run.

Austin Scott on CNN

I was down in the 8th District this past weekend going door-to-door with the Georgia Association of College Republicans for Austin Scott. This group has been active every week in helping in crucial races. We knocked on 1,300 doors in the 8th and made hundreds of calls. If all of the “Yes” votes we got are any indication of what the future holds, then the Landmark Communications poll just might ring true.

There’s another trip this weekend. If you would like to make phone calls or help volunteer this week and weekend then contact Austin Scott for Congress Field Director Brett Taylor at [email protected]

I’m fired up about this race and can’t wait for November 2nd.

Boehner Promises GA Republicans Committee Posts if GOP Take House

Politico reports on Minority Leader John Boehner’s appearances in South Georgia this week.

House Minority Leader John Boehner promised two Republican candidates choice committee spots this week.

Boehner, speaking Tuesday in Centerville, Ga., said he would commit “to do everything I can to make sure” Austin Scott, the Republican running against Rep. Jim Marshall (D-Ga.), gets a spot on the Armed Services committee, according to a video posted on a local news source’s website.

Mike Keown, the Republican running against Rep. Sanford Bishop (D-Ga.), said Tuesday that the Ohio Republican committed to him a seat on the Agriculture committee.

“We will have a seat at the table and with a Republican majority, we’ll have a strong voice as we address farm issues,” Keown said, according to the local Fox affiliate.

POLITICO: Dems backed by group DCCC attacked

From Politico:

National Democrats have charged that a House candidate endorsed by a controversial anti-immigration group has “Nazi ties” — but six other congressional Democrats also have the group’s endorsement, and at least one has enthusiastically embraced its support.

The group, Americans for Legal Immigration, or ALIPAC, supports candidates and incumbents who oppose creating a path to citizenship for the thousands of undocumented immigrants in the United States. The Anti-Defamation League has criticized ALIPAC for what it says is support from white supremacist and racist groups. Read more

Ethics Complaint Filed Against Deal

The Democratic Party of Georgia has filed an ethics complaint against Nathan Deal over his acceptance of at least $128,700 in disallowed campaign contributions.

Roy Barnes says Nathan Deal, his opponent for governor, must return $136,970 in campaign donations that exceed legal limits.

The Democrat’s campaign cites a total of $183,000 Republican Deal took from seven groups of companies and two political committees.
Each group of companies and the committees, according to the campaign, are affiliated and may legally give only $6,100 per election.

Instead, Barnes’ campaign says, each group of donors allegedly kicked in more than $6,100 – in one case, $50,000.

The groups exceeded the limit by a total of $128,400, said Barnes’ spokesman Emil Runge.

In addition, Runge said, five individuals also exceeded the $6,100 limit by a total of $8,570.

More here. H/T to Jim Galloway.

Yes, it’s a late move by the Democrats and probably won’t see much recognition. But, let’s say that Deal is elected Governor, and this is still held over his head. Well, chances are the state ethics committee won’t challenge a seating Governor b/c of his sway (see the ruling on the Ox when he was ahead in the polls). Is this a little to late for the DPG, or do they have more up their sleeve? We can only wait and see.

Regardless, Deal continues to show more skeletons in his closet. I’m wondering how many more arrows that Roy has in his quiver. This is one voter that’s waiting till the end to vote. It’s getting interesting.

Marshall on why he’s keeping Pelosi’s $46K: “It helped me stay in Congress.”


KELLY: I want to ask you this, because your opponent has apparently said that he is going to call for you – given your position – to return the $46,000 that Pelosi and her political action committee has given to you. Given this position and this ad, I want to give you the chance to respond to that, sir.

MARSHALL: I don’t know how much money over the years Speaker Pelosi has contributed to my campaigns – it’s a substantial amount of money and I won’t challenge that total – but that’s all in the past. I’ve not taken any money from Speaker Pelosi during the current cycle, and none of the money I have in my campaign account has come from Speaker Pelosi, so I don’t really have any of that money to return. I’m thankful she contributed to me in the past, it helped me stay in Congress. I’m a centrist, I’m an American. Basically, Americans should want more people in Congress like me, and I appreciate Speaker Pelosi helping me stay here.

Scott AGAIN Outraises Marshall has an article up on GOP challengers outraising Democratic incumbents. Georgia’s own Austin Scott outraised incumbent Jim Marshall $460,000 to $299,000. Momentum continues to build for the Scott campaign and I will continue doing what I can to make sure they are victorious on November 2nd. This fundraising period (the last before the election) was an important one. Austin outraising Marshall sends a clear message that a contender could take out the “champ” in this race. I’m rooting for Austin, helping him, and I hope you will as well. Donations, phone calls, and a strong grassroots push will help make sure that this independent thinker is placed in Congress.

Our country, and our state will be better off if we can get Austin Scott elected to Congress. I hope you’ll join me. Check out to see where he stands on the issues.