Chairman of the Georgia Republican Party John Padgett joined radio host Tim Bryant to discuss the 2014 elections. During the discussion, Padgett touched on polling. He explained that the Georgia Republican Party’s internal polling aligned closely with Tuesday night’s results. While the Party did not poll every race, staffers were confident that Deal and Perdue would win outright.
In what appears to be Party vs. Polling, Chairman Padgett took a swing at Mark Rountree of Landmark Communications and Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage. “The polling missed it,” Chairman Padgett said. “Even at the end, it still wasn’t right.”
Here’s the relevant part of the interview:
It has become clear that polling Georgia is not an easy task. Here on Peach Pundit, our commenters questioned the accuracy of many of the pre-election polls. Chairman Padgett pointed out that bad polling effects the election process; it might not affect it at the end, but it affects the psychology and fundraising.
Landmark’s Rountree noted that his poll had a 2.5% margin of error which meant the poll was on the mark. Here is a comparison of Landmark’s final poll and the actual election results:
In the words of fellow Peach Pundit intern Chet Martin, “Presumably 5% of Georgians exist only to prove that David Perdue cannot be accurately polled.” We report; you decide. Who is right and who is wrong?