Early Voting Numbers

UPDATE: Final numbers released by the Secretary of State’s office:

General Statewide Turnout
Number of ballots cast: 939,136
Number of ballots voted in person: 846,118
Number of mail-in ballots returned: 93,018
Number of mail-in ballots outstanding: 32,223

Top 5 Counties With Highest Turnout
Fulton: 94,944
DeKalb: 80,502
Cobb: 68,966
Gwinnett: 55,090

Original post:

Let’s take a look at some early voting numbers. The Secretary of State’s office said that as of Thursday night…

The following is a cumulative summary of statewide advance in-person voting and vote-by-mail turnout as of the morning of October 31, 2014:

General Statewide Turnout
Number of ballots cast: 798,309
Number of ballots voted in person: 714,219
Number of mail-in ballots returned: 84,090
Number of mail-in ballots outstanding: 39,641

Top 5 Counties With Highest Turnout
Fulton: 79,065
DeKalb: 67,735
Cobb: 58,132
Gwinnett: 46,768
Henry: 26,466

At the Gwinnett GOP breakfast Saturday morning in Lawrenceville, Kemp said Friday’s voting across Georgia could top 100,000, so I would expect us to top 900,000 ballots cast at the close of advanced in person voting.

The folks at www.electproject.org say this (full spreadsheet here):

934,485 ballots cast (includes advanced in person voting and absentee ballots received by mail).

Race
White 58.1%
Black 30.8%
Hispanic 0.5%
Other 1.0%
New Reg (Unknown) 9.6%

Gender
Female 52.5%
Male 41.5%
New Reg (Unknown) 5.9%

Age
18-29 4.2%
30-44 14.4%
45-60 30.9%
60+ 44.5%
New Reg (Unknown) 5.9%

Method
Electronic 0.0%
In-Person 90.4%
Mail 9.6%

2010 Vote
Yes 74.7%
No 25.3%

L2 VoterMapping has data from sometime Thursday which says of 742,885 ballots cast. the party affiliation was:

Democratic: 273,573 36.8%
Non-Partisan: 122,309 16.5%
Republican: 347,003 46.7%

Their cool looking map looks like this:

georgiaearlyvoting

Discuss, debate, and interpret in the comments.

36 comments

  1. southernpol says:

    Final Early numbers:
    Total: 934,744
    Fulton: 91,891
    DeKalb: 80,478
    Cobb: 68,438
    Gwinnett: 55,089
    Henry: 31,509

    A couple of things I noticed:
    – In Cobb, 42 of the top 50 precincts in early vote turnout (as a percentage of total 2012 turnout) went for Romney. 37 of those were 60+ for Romney.
    – In Gwinnett, Dems have had high turnout (again, as a % of 2012 total) in good areas for them (ex: Rockbridge precincts – 29%) but it’s not consistent. Very low turnout in the Martins (14%) and Pinckneyville precincts (13%) comparatively with the rest of the county.
    – Dems will be happy that Clayton, DeKalb, and Rockdale are increasing their % of the total number statewide votes. But Chatham, Fulton, and Richmond are all down as a % of total statewide.

  2. eddiep says:

    My count at the end of Friday is 934,769 have voted and of those 844,792 voted in person.
    Caveat – I am excel challenged.

  3. South Fulton Guy says:

    Republican candidates are surging. Not only do they look poised to win the Senate, but it looks like their majority in the U.S. House will be bolstered as well.

    But polls are just polls. They mean nothing if we don’t get out and vote tomorrow, and make sure that people in our own spheres of influence vote as well.

    VOTE!!

  4. northside101 says:

    Interesting that DeKalb and Cobb both finished ahead of Gwinnett, even though Gwinnett in the 2000 census had 100,000+ more people than either DeKalb or Cobb.

    DeKalb of course will be solid for Carter—maybe 75-80 percent—but will be interesting to see what Cobb and Gwinnett do. Obama broke into the mid 40s in both counties last time, and Gwinnett now is only slightly majority white in voter registration. Gwinnett seems to be approaching 50-50 political parity quicker than Cobb.

    Blacks accounted for 28 percent of the state’s total turnout in 2010 midterm cycle and 30% in both the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.

    • And from Nov 1 2010 to Oct 1 2014 the total active voter registration changes by race…
      Black +72,691
      White -121,939
      Hisp +73,041
      Other +143,791

      Roy lost by about 260k, since then there are 289k more voters that typically favor Dems and 122k fewer voters that typically favor GOP, for a net Dem movement of 411k.

      Sure not all of them vote, but you close a lot of the gap just right there before you get any white females to switch to Michelle or Jason.

      • TheEiger says:

        These are registered voters. You better have a bunch of buses lined up already to get them to the polls. As of right now, it doesn’t matter how many people are registered if they don’t show up.

        You do point out a problem for Republicans in 2016. The state Republican party is horrible and needs to get off their butts and register people to vote. It is sad that there are 100,000 more registered voters in the 5th district versus the 14th.

        • Well the buses have already been taking them to early vote. At some point I have to believe that the people who have already turned out aren’t that much different than the ones who haven’t. That’s what it was like in 2010 and 2012, but not 2008. You think this is more like 2008?

          • TheEiger says:

            I’m not convinced that every person that has polled the state of Georgia is wrong like you seem to be. You are acting and saying everything I did in 2012 when I had to explain how Romney was going to win. I was wrong then and think you are this time.

              • TheEiger says:

                Expect most polls had Romney losing or tied in the final days. It’s hard for me to believe that every pollster is wrong. Not half or 75%. You are saying 100% of pollsters that have polled this race are wrong. We will chat Wednesday.

    • analogkid says:

      My side lost the voter ID battle, so, while I continue to disagree, I will no longer argue that issue.

      I hope we can all agree that James O’Keefe’s fake southern accent is horrible to the point of being insulting though, right?

  5. debbie0040 says:

    I have not seen any poll that gives the magic number of 30% of the white vote to Nunn. Isn’t that the magic number the Dems need to win ?

  6. debbie0040 says:

    Thanks for the info. When you have a volatile electorate, it is hard to predict results. The polls are all over the place and it will be interesting to see which one predicted the closest to actual results.

    I, for one, will be glad when it is all over and I don’t have to keep switching channels when a campaign commercial comes on…

    OK, Peach Pundit readers, which poll do you believe will be the most accurate ? I think Mark Rountree’s firm.

  7. Bull Moose says:

    I would like to see less emphasis on the state of polls and more emphasis on the actual ideas being espoused by the candidates in the future. I think the obsession of polls causes too many people to make the assumption that there vote doesn’t matter.

    I think most of the polls in GA are going to be off, but we shall see.

Comments are closed.