Politico and Nate Silver Conduct #GaSen Review

The US Senate race in Georgia seems to be drawing even more national media attention. In a recent article, Politico conducts a thorough analysis of the major factors that could hurt both David Perdue and Michelle Nunn.

When it comes to David Perdue, the article forecasts that Perdue’s defense of his outsourcing record could do more harm than good to his overall prospects of winning. Speaking of Michelle Nunn’s attacks on David Perdue’s record, the article says:

She continues to hammer Perdue on the stump, in debates and in TV ads for his work at North Carolina textile manufacturer Pillowtex and other companies involved in outsourcing. She regularly invokes a Perdue quote from a 2005 deposition, first reported by POLITICO, in which the GOP candidate said he spent “most of my career” involved in outsourcing. More recently, Perdue faced a story about a million-dollar investment fund he owns managed by a Swiss bank.

Nunn, in an interview after an event in Decatur this week, called Perdue “out of touch” with Georgia citizens. “I was surprised at his response, and I think most Georgians have been whether by starting out by saying he was proud of his career in outsourcing or then moving forward and saying that Georgians didn’t understand business.”

On the other hand, the author asserts that Michelle Nunn’s Achilles heel, also known as Barack Obama, does not seem to hurt her as many originally thought it would:

Tight races in Colorado, Alaska, North Carolina and elsewhere appear to be trending away from Democrats in large part because of this abiding malaise.

But that is not the case here in Georgia, where things are actually much worse than the nation as a whole. The jobless rate is the highest in the nation at 7.9 percent, fully 2 points above the national rate of 5.9 percent. And Nunn seems to have found a way to turn Perdue’s top selling point, his record as business executive, against him.

In related news, Nate Silver recently wrote an article titled “The Democrats’ Path Of Last Resort Is Georgia”. Apart from the apparent claim he makes in the title of this article, Silver predicts that Nunn has a 40% overall chance of winning. He also forecasts that Nunn has a 20% chance of winning an outright majority on Nov. 4, while Perdue stands a 35% chance of doing the same.

8 comments

  1. Jon Lester says:

    I read the Nate Silver column yesterday, and I like and appreciate his approach. Forgive me if I don’t follow the other link, because I’ve come to really hate Politico lately. Thanks for going there, so I don’t have to.

  2. Bobloblaw says:

    The interesting thing will be the runoff. Can Obama want until Jan 6th to appoint a new radical leftist as AG? What about Executive Amnesty?

  3. Dave Bearse says:

    Silver at this point in time is the best. I may be mistaken, but I recollect Silver assessing Nunn’s chances in the 10%-20% range a couple of months ago. The GOP is increasingly sweating the trend.

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