Jon’s already done a great job of giving a full run-down of today’s SurveyUSA poll, which showed Michelle Nunn leading David Perdue 48%-45%. However, I noticed one major swing in the crosstabs that hasn’t yet received much attention: Nunn closing the gap in Northwest Georgia. While just one week ago she trailed Perdue there by 23 points, she now is behind by just 6. With SurveyUSA projecting that this region (which spreads to include Rabun, Oconee, and Upson counties) will make up 35% of voters, this swing could make a major difference on election day.
Why the change? The recent focus on Perdue’s outsourcing comments – that he not only “spent most of [his] career doing that” and his subsequent ‘pride,’ would naturally have a big impact in manufacturing-rich Northwest Georgia. In the three Regional Commissions that mostly make up the region, manufacturing makes up one of the top industry sectors, and the Northwest Georgia Regional Commission earned the state’s only “Manufacturing Community” designation from the U.S. Department of Commerce.
SurveyUSA’s poll movement doesn’t show similar movement elsewhere: Nunn solidified her support in Atlanta, and lost a bit of ground in the South. With roughly a 7% margin of error for each regional crosstab, though, only the Northwest Georgia shift seems significant.
With this poll being conducted before the Nunn campaign launched their latest ad featuring Perdue’s “Defend it? I’m proud of it!” line, we’ll see if future polling shows this trend continuing. Things might get even worse for Perdue, too– residents of Northwest Georgia’s “Carpet Capital of the World” woke up today to news of the Tuesday visit of popular former Senator Sam Nunn in the Dalton Daily Citizen.