WSB TV published the results of a new poll showing the Senate and Governor races are tied. David Perdue and Michelle Nunn each have 46% of the electorate, with 4% either voting for the Libertarian Amanda Swafford or are undecided. Nathan Deal and Jason Carter are also tied at 45% apiece, with 5% either undecided or voting for Libertarian Andrew Hunt.
The poll was conducted by Landmark Communications, which throughout the general election cycle has assumed a higher percentage of black and female voters than other pollsters. That methodology has not changed for the current poll, which included 1,000 voters and has a margin of error of 3.1%.
Commenting on the Senate race, Landmark President Mark Rountree said,
David Perdue has made up significant ground against Michelle Nunn. There may have initially been some residual hard feelings from Kingston supporters after a very long primary and runoff season. They were slow to back Perdue. But over the past month Republicans solidified behind Perdue and now support him 87-5% over Nunn, up from 78-11% in August.
There is a major difference between men and women in the way they are voting for Senate,” said Rountree. “Female voters are voting for Nunn by a 10 point margin 51-41%, while male voters are voting for Perdue by a 12 point margin, 51-39%.
Rountree noted the gap between men and women in their support of the Deal Carter race:
Gov. Deal leads Sen. Carter among male voters by 12 points, 51-40%, while Carter holds an 11 point lead among women, 50-39%. There is a significant difference in how the genders will vote.
Both the Senate and Governor’s races are tightening, a trend seen in other recent polls. In Rountree’s opinion, recent polling showing very competitive races in the Governor and Senate races show that other pollsters have shifted the ratio of women and minorities that will vote in November closer to what Landmark has consistently predicted.
Of course, the only poll that counts is the election itself. Real voters will have a chance to weigh in beginning on Monday, and continuing through the November fourth election.