If you’re one of those “glass half full” types who hopes their Gubernatorial / Senatorial candidate wins without a runoff election, you might want to hold your horses. If recent Gallup Polls are anything to go by, Georgia could be headed into a runoff this election cycle. From the Gallup article:
With two hotly contested seats on the ballot in Georgia this midterm election, four in 10 Georgians (40%) identify as independent, while the rest are closely split between Republicans (27%) and Democrats (28%). Moreover, nearly as many Georgia independents say they lean toward the Democratic Party (12%) as say they lean Republican (15%), resulting in a tight party division in the state.
In addition to the even split among Party lines, Gallup also estimates a recent rise in ideological polarization among Georgians.
Conservatives have held at least a 24-point edge over liberals in years past, but the lead has diminished to 19 points this year. Though this is still a significant ideological advantage, it reinforces that Georgia’s political competitiveness has tightened this year amid these crucial elections.
Moreover, Gallup also recommends that the Georgia Republican Party would be better served if it’s statewide candidates ran on issues instead of merely an Anti-Obama platform.
While Republicans typically use low approval ratings against the president, and against those who share his Democratic affiliation, their attacks on the president’s performance might not be as fruitful in the Peach State as it is in other states with close Senate races. Though Obama is unpopular with Georgians, his approval is on par with that of the 50-state average, and therefore might not be the most convincing case to make against a Democratic candidate.
But of course, one could argue that Peach Pundit contributor Jason Pye is way ahead of Gallup when he made a very similar prediction in his recent article on Rare. Pye recommends that David Perdue should go on the offensive with issues like ObamaCare in order to re-engage and re-energize Republicans and Republican leaning Independents instead of just sticking to ad hominem attacks on Nunn for her affiliations with the President and Harry Reid.