The Washington Post posted their latest Election Lab predictions on who will control the US Senate in the next Congress, and the tea leaves don’t spell a victory for Republicans. A few key races have been moving in a way that makes it more favorable for Democrats to retain control of the upper chamber: Colorado has moved more favorably for the Democratic incumbent and the Republican incumbents in both Iowa and Kansas have been moving in a more unfavorable manner. In fact, they make note of how the Kansas race wasn’t even on the radar just a few weeks ago and now Republican Senator Pat Roberts has a 68% chance of winning.
There is good news for Republican David Perdue as the Election Lab has rated Georgia more of a “sure thing” by giving Perdue a 91% chance of winning.
Of course, prognosticating comes with its own set of challenges since it can and does change on a daily basis. They cite other sources that contradict their own predictions, but like everything else…your mileage may vary. Interpret your set of tea leaves in the comments.