Polls, Polls, Polls

Vox Poluli has a new poll out and I would be derelict of my duty if I didn’t make some reference to skiers.

The quick and dirty? Perdue is up, and most definitely not in the statistical tie zone.

Vox Populi Polling released a new survey today that found Republican U.S. Senate candidate David Perdue holds a commanding 49 to 40 percent lead over his Democrat opponent Michelle Nunn, with 10 percent undecided. These results come in the midst of the accidental leak of an internal Nunn strategy memo, which will likely be used against her in television and radio ads.

“Our survey results show that David Perdue holds a commanding lead over Michelle Nunn after his recent primary victory,” said Vox Populi Pollster Brent Seaborn. “This is good news for Perdue who will likely see an uptick in his numbers after Republicans capitalize off of Nunn’s recent misfortune.”

For more details, check them out here. Just once, I wish these would come with a .dat file so I could play with the numbers in Stata.


        • Bobloblaw says:

          No Dem has gotten more than 47% in the last few cycles in GA (Thurbert Baker aside). All the polls that have or had Nunn leading had her with the standard 44-47%. It was the GOP candidate that was under performing. What that means is the undecided voters are regular GOP voters. I still say wait 1-2 weeks and see what polls say then.

  1. georgiahack says:

    Is the same methodology as the Insider Advantage poll from a few weeks ago? ” 497 interviews were completed using automated telephone technology and 127 were conducted using mobile based survey tech”

      • It’s definitely an interesting approach. I’d be curious to see the crosstabs (at the very least) of interviews conducted using IVR vs the mobile based tech. 127 is a relatively small sample size and the problem with small samples sizes is they are likely to over-represent statistical anomalies. For example, I would not be surprised to see a higher percentage of African American Republicans represented in this type of poll than they actually make up in the electorate, which can skew the numbers.

Comments are closed.