Rasmussen polls Georgia, Shows Carter up 1

July 27, 2014 11:38 am

by Stefan · 6 comments

Rasmussen spent last week polling Georgia’s Governor and Senate races and here’s the results:

Forty-five percent (45%) of Likely Georgia Voters support Carter to Deal’s 44% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while eight percent (8%) are undecided.

This is the same poll released last week with the below Senate numbers.

Perdue leads with 46% support to Nunn’s 40%. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and 10% are undecided.

The results are +/- 4%.

Feel free to insult the robots responsible in the comments.

Bobloblaw July 27, 2014 at 6:51 pm

Ive noticed that both Carter and Nunn are polling about where Dems end up in GA on election day (40-47%). So the undecideds are most likely voters who almost always vote GOP.

xdog July 27, 2014 at 7:48 pm

You may be right. But maybe their numbers are higher at this point than donks in previous elections . Or maybe since results of both polls are within the margin of error, the races really are too close to call now.

Chris Huttman July 28, 2014 at 11:16 am

I would counsel you to look at the white % of the vote that Democrats are getting. The past three election cycles, Obama got about 20%, Barnes 19%, Taylor 21%. If you believe the exit poll in 2008, Martin got 26% (I think it was actually closer to 23%).

Barnes is the most instructive – he got about 19% and got 43% of the vote. This means Deal was getting somewhere around 76% of the white vote.

In most recent polling, Carter/Nunn have been around 26-27% of the white vote, the Republicans at best have been around 65% of the white vote.

I can assure you that this is not usually the case. 26/27 at the very least buys you a runoff. That’s if the entire rest of the white vote goes back to the Republican. 65% of the white vote for Republicans = a loss. Do the math.

Ralph July 27, 2014 at 8:03 pm

Real trouble for Democrats after the brutal primary/ runoff for the GOP Senatorial nomination and constant liberal media spin/bashing of Deal over the rehashed “ethics” issue if this is the best they can do. Once the campaigns start in earnest after Labor Day, the red state of Georgia electorate will line up with the rest of the nation and punish Democrats during the historically rough time for the incumbent presidential party. Georgia Democrats peaking in July (maybe even in August) is of no value in their desire to finally win a state wide election after being shut out for a decade.

MattMD July 27, 2014 at 9:21 pm

Oh yeah, the liberal media must be at it again!

What complete and utter nonsense.

SGW July 27, 2014 at 10:56 pm

If Rasmussen is still estimating 25% AA turnout, Carter is actually leading by more given turnout will be at least 28%.

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