2014 Primary Election prediction survey, Day 1 results

May 14, 2014 9:30 am

by Buzz Brockway · 4 comments

371 votes have been cast thusfar. Thanks for your participation. Here are the results right now:

Q1) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for U.S. Senate will finish.
Perdue, Kingston, Handel, Broun, Gingrey, Gardner, Grayson.

Q2) Michelle Nunn will receive how much of the vote in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary?
Over 80%: 38%
Over 70%: 34%
Over 60%: 22%
Barely over 50%: 5%
There will be a runoff: 1%

Q3) Governor Deal will receive how much of the vote in the GOP Governor Primary?
Over 60%: 48%
Over 70%: 35%
Over 50%: 9%
There will be a Deavl v. Pennington runoff: 7%
You’re disrespecting Dr. John Barge and I’m outraged: 1%
David Pennington will win without a runoff: 1%

Q4) Which of the following are likely to happen?
Sam Moore (HD22) is defeated or forced into a runoff: 34%
Don Balfour (SD9) is defeated or forced into a runoff: 30%
Charles Gregory (HD34) is defeated: 20%
None of these things will happen: 14%
David Ralston (HD7) is defeated: 3%

Q5) Which of the following are likely to happen?
None of these things will happen: 72%
Debbie Dooley will endorse Jason Carter for Governor immediately following Nathan Deal securing the GOP nomination: 17%
Debbie Dooley will announce her retirement from politics after every candidate she supports loses: 7%
Debbie Dooley will finally make good on her promise to buy every Peach Pundit reader a steak dinner: 4%

Q6) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for the 1st Congressional district will finish.
B. Carter, Chapman, D. Carter, Johnson, McCallum, Martin.

Q7) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for the 10th Congressional district will finish.
Collins, Hice, Sheldon, Gerrard, Simpson, SLowinski, Swann.

Q8) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for the 11th Congressional district will finish.
Barr, Loudermilk, Lindsey, Pridemore, Levene, Mronizski.

Q9) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for the 12th Congressional district will finish.
Allen, Dutton, Stone, Yu, Vann.

Q10) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for State School Superintendent will finish.
Bell, Bacallao, Buck, Jester, Dawes, Johnson, Fort, Woods, Willis.

Q11) Predict the order in which the Democratic Candidates for State School Superintendent will finish.
Dent, Freeman, Morgan, Mays, Wilson, Robinzine.

Q12) Predict the order in which the GOP Candidates for Public Service Commission will finish.
McDonald, Kidd, Lutz.

Q13) Who will win the Democratic nomination for Insurance Commissioner?
Heard: 68%
Johnson: 32%

Q14) Who will win the Democratic nomination for Secretary of State?
Carter: 58%
Beckum: 42%

Didn’t register your opinion yesterday? It’s not too late. Take the survey below the fold and discuss how your fellow Peach Pundit readers got it right or wrong in the comments. Cumulative results will be posted again tomorrow morning.

{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

Baker May 14, 2014 at 11:12 am

Whew! (wipes sweat off brow) What a stunner in that Dem School Super race…who would have ever guessed that’d be the way it turned out?

Buzz Brockway May 14, 2014 at 12:03 pm

Actually, I’m surprised Valarie Wilson isn’t getting more love. Didn’t GAE endorse her?

Baker May 14, 2014 at 3:44 pm

Ha…I can’t believe I’m about to engage on this for real but…yes they did and my prediction in the survey was that she would finish 1 or 2. I think she still might. PP readers are actually a good mix of ideology I think but that Dem Super race is so far under the radar, I don’t think most folks have heard of any of them. Whatever turnout they do get though I think will put her and Alisha Morgan in a runoff.

Alisha Morgan, fwiw, was literally elected right out of college…a pet peeve of mine…Austin Scott is pushing it for my money… It’s unclear to me if she’s ever actually done anything other than hold office, “community activism” doesn’t count.

Will Durant May 14, 2014 at 4:17 pm

Since I can’t reopen the poll to see I suspect the PP voters just left this one in the order you had them Buzz, I know I did. I found it difficult enough to make my decision between the 9 Republicans and didn’t spend any time looking up the Democrats just for this. I won’t be voting in the Democratic Primary and you didn’t leave that as an option in the poll.