Consider this a way to start a discussion, as I have several anecdotes but don’t have time to look for data.
I’m told by a couple of folks that the early voting turnout in GA-11 is substantially below normal. I’m also told it’s below similar percentages in GA-10 and GA-12, which also have contested GOP primaries. Those districts too are not exactly burning up early voting percentages.
There’s a couple of factors in play. We have an earlier primary than ever in Georgia, courtesy of a Federal Judge and a consent order agreed to by SOS Kemp (by the way, have you seen his website?). Voters may not yet be ready to engage.
There’s also the number of candidates. Major races have 4-5 viable candidates each. Some like State School Super have…I can’t even remember.
There’s some thought that voters aren’t willing to engage until the numbers are pared down to a head to head decision.
If turnout is low, who does it help, and who does it hurt? Does “voter intensity” matter more? Or is this entire discussion baseless/invalid? Discuss.