Loudermilk Has Slight Edge Over Former Congressman Barr In Latest Poll

April 21, 2014 12:00 pm

by Nathan · 10 comments

Former State Senator and current GOP contender for the open 11th District Congressional District seat Barry Loudermilk has a slight 25% to 23% edge over former Congressman Bob Barr in the latest Landmark/RosettaStone Poll with Tricia Pridemore coming in with 11%, State Representative Ed Lindsey at 8%, and 26% still undecided:

A new poll jointly released Monday by Landmark Communications and Rosetta Stone Communications identifies Senator Barry Loudermilk now leading the Republican Primary for Georgia Congressional District 11.

Loudermilk leads among Georgia Republican primary voters with 25% of the vote. Bob Barr is two points behind Loudermilk at 23%. Tricia Pridemore has 11% of support, while Representative Edward Lindsey has 8%.

“Senator Loudermilk and former Congressman Barr are both heavily benefiting by being the only two candidates who have already represented substantial parts of this district,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications. “Unless one of the other candidates develops and advertises a unique issue or theme during the final month of the campaign, Barr and Loudermilk are likely to be the two candidates going into a runoff.”

“This race is shaping up to being a two-way election between Barry Loudermilk and Bob Barr,” said John Garst, President of Atlanta-based Rosetta Stone Communications. “Other candidates still have a chance to make it into a runoff, but with only 26% of the electorate left undecided, that is going to be increasing difficult.”

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METHODOLOGY
Landmark Communications, Inc and Rosetta Stone Communications conducted a poll of Georgia Congressional District 11 on April 17 of 500 Likely Voters in the May Republican Primary. Only voters who fully completed the survey were tabulated in the results. The poll was conducted Thursday, April 17, and results reflect only respondents who stated that they intend to vote in the 2014 Republican Primary. The poll was conducted by telephone using IVR technology. The margin of error of the survey is 4.5%. To be consistent with previous and projected voter turnout, results are weighted based on age and gender.

Discuss.

F. Underwood April 21, 2014 at 1:47 pm

The scuttlebutt out there is that Lindsey is close to securing the Clay Cox endorsement. Although there’s only a month left before the primary, that should at least secure a spot in the runoff. So don’t put too much stock in those poll numbers.

Jawgadude April 21, 2014 at 2:12 pm

What??? Hardly anyone in the 11th even knows who Clay Cox is? However, if Barr would drop some dollars into an ad campaign showing that both Loudermilk and Lindsey voted FOR the Internet sales tax bill, that would shake things up.

southernpol April 21, 2014 at 3:30 pm

Highly doubt Barr wants to get into votes. That’s like opening Pandora’s box.

Every Republican in the state voted for the bill you are referring to, which was a package of tax reform, not just the Internet sales tax.

General Jack D. Ripper April 21, 2014 at 2:27 pm

Did you mean Chuck Clay as opposed to Clay Cox?

F. Underwood April 21, 2014 at 8:25 pm

No, I meant the congressman from Gwinnett.

Daniel N. Adams April 21, 2014 at 3:12 pm

I’m questioning if they meant the sentence in the Methodology, “… statewide poll…” Did they only use respondents in the district?

Nathan April 21, 2014 at 4:09 pm

Probably just a typo.

Mark Rountree April 21, 2014 at 6:35 pm

Daniel, thanks for the post and question. We were in the field with multiple polls in Georgia that day. We only asked questions and reported respondents from District 11.

John Konop April 21, 2014 at 7:30 pm

This what I see in Cherokee…..Barry and his supporters have been working neighborhoods very hard……Lindsey has been steeping it up lately….Barr has his stable supporters…..Priedmore has the most upside via more name recognition in the polls….I would not be surprised which of the 2 end up in the run off…..it is wide open because as one candidate rises you have to wonder who they take support from….I do think in Cherokee that Pridemore will get some legs via the school board races, all candidates supporting her work with vocational education.

George Chidi April 22, 2014 at 11:20 am

One year ago yesterday, I described Barry Loudermilk as a fundamentalist Christian theocrat and wrote this:

“I have no doubt that Loudermilk can win a primary … and probably will win the primary. And I think it is more likely than not that he will win election. But we are talking about a man who penned a screed about throwing non-Christians out of the country a few years that is widely circulated and repurposed by Christian dominionists and reconstructionists as a manifesto and as an example of the worst of right-wing crazy by everyone else. This is a man that claims — despite voluminous evidence to the contrary and the conventional view of historians for the last 200 years or so — that the “entire” Constitution is based on Isiah 33:22.

Loudermilk is an absolutist on abortion: as I understand it, he introduced legislation to define life as “the moment of conception.” That’s an applause line for fundamentalist Christians and about as far outside of the mainstream as you can get for everyone else, particularly moderate career women in Cobb County. The Todd Akin moment awaits.

Here’s my thing: there are plenty of legislators in this state who have deeply-held fundamentalist Christian beliefs. For most, these views may inform their legislative approach but do not define it. Most are focused on the nuts-and-bolts issues of the day: tax policy, transportation, school quality, public safety, environmental management, economic development, et cetera. Loudermilk appears to have made his bones primarily on ideological issues.

Loudermilk: how many chairs away from Chip Rogers was he seated at the infamous “Agenda 21″ briefing about the looming threat of a UN takeover of the United States?

If I were a primary opponent, I might argue that Loudermilk would shove the district into Michele Bachmann territory. Unless he has a fundamental change of posture toward governance, I suspect his extremism will cause Congress as a body to isolate him out of a sense of political survival, as it has done with Bachmann, who apparently has had neither a bill nor a resolution she’s sponsored signed into law, nor chaired a committee or subcommittee.”

I see nothing to alter my view.

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