InsiderAdvantage: Carter leads Deal by 3 points

March 13, 2014 14:11 pm

by Jason · 16 comments

This just landed in my Inbox:

An InsiderAdvantage survey of 486 voters in Georgia has Governor Nathan Deal trailing Democrat Jason Carter in the race for governor, with Carter at 41% and Deal at 38%. The survey’s margin of error is 4.3%, which means the two are statistically tied in the poll. This is the fourth survey InsiderAdvantage has conducted recently in the race. All of the surveys have shown the race as extremely tight.

You can read Matt Towery’s comments over at InsiderAdvantage.

NorthGAGOP March 13, 2014 at 2:19 pm

Ouch.

Ludwig Von Beachbum March 13, 2014 at 2:23 pm

As bad as I dislike Deal, the thought of Jimmy Carter blood in the system is more scary.

Jason March 13, 2014 at 2:35 pm

Ludwig Von Beachbum Mises

Sorry. Off-topic.

The Last Democrat in Georgia March 13, 2014 at 8:48 pm

“As bad as I dislike Deal, the thought of Jimmy Carter blood in the system is more scary.”

Your comment raises some interesting points…

…Some interesting points like that the unflattering legacy of his grandfather, the negative baggage associated with the Carter name, and the connection of both he and his grandfather to the national Democratic Party (a party whose policy, social and cultural positions most Georgia voters consider to be entirely too far to the left of the mainstream and entirely too far on the left-side of the political spectrum), will most-likely be entirely too much for Jason Carter too overcome in the end…

…Particularly in a year where the national Democratic Party looks like it is going to take a beating over Obamacare in the mid-term elections.

Chris Huttman March 13, 2014 at 11:14 pm

Define “most”. Do the 46/47% of voters who voted for Barack Obama think that?

The Last Democrat in Georgia March 14, 2014 at 12:03 am

It does not matter what the 45.48% of the electorate that voted for Obama in 2012 thinks because 45.48% does not equate to a majority of the electorate…

…Hence the proven assertion that the national Democratic Party (and its entirely too far left-leaning Georgia satellite) is too far to the left for most Georgia voters on almost every issue.

No matter how they may try to slice it and dice it, liberal candidates just simply cannot get to 50% in Georgia statewide elections.

Chris Huttman March 14, 2014 at 5:04 pm

Yeah but when you say stuff like “entirely too far to the left”…I’m sure 40% of Georgia thinks the Democrats are entirely too far to the left just as 40% of Georgia thinks that the Republicans are entirely too far to the right.

But what if a few percent – between 2-5% think the Democrats usually are only a little too far to the left. It isn’t as inconceivable as people around here pretend it is. In 2008, Jim Powell got 47.9% in the first PSC election (lost in the runoff) which was a larger share of the vote than the Republican got. Only 2% away then…

The Last Democrat in Georgia March 14, 2014 at 6:13 pm

Those are good points, but it’s not the Republicans whom the public thinks may be entirely too far to the right who have increasingly struggled to win statewide elections in Georgia since 2002.

…It is the Democrats whom the public thinks may be entirely too far to the left who have increasingly struggled to win statewide elections over the last 12 years, with one of the major reasons (but not the only reason) often being that the Georgia electorate as a whole thinks that the Democratic Party is too far out on the left side of the political spectrum for their tastes.

If the Democratic Party was closer to Georgia voters in its political, social, cultural and economic views, then maybe the party might not have struggled so mightily in statewide elections over the past dozen years.

Ludwig Von Beachbum March 14, 2014 at 7:13 pm

Very insightful post. But I was “off topic” according to Lord Dart Jason.

The Last Democrat in Georgia March 15, 2014 at 4:47 am

Thanks for the compliment, but I think that Jason meant that he was off-topic with his reference to Ludwig von Mises, who was a very-influential academic figure in the 20th Century Libertarian Movement in America.

Harry March 13, 2014 at 4:35 pm

To be honest, I’m not even worried about Nathan Deal’s chances of losing re-election against Jason Carter.

Harry March 13, 2014 at 4:44 pm

But I hope the race attracts lots of out of state money.

Michael Silver March 14, 2014 at 8:36 am

I’m sure Governor Handel feels the same. She beat the former congressman Deal by 12% in the primary … and then lost by 0.4% in the runoff.

I’m sure Governor Barnes felt the same way. Nobody can beat me, I’m an incumbent. He got beat by 5%.

When folks learn about how Governor Deal manipulated the system to make sure that no gun bill passed the Legislature and that he did so on behalf of the Academic Left and Mayor Bloomberg, the support he takes for granted may stay at home.

Ask President McCain and Romney what happens when they are exposed as anti-gun.

The title of the expose’ about Deal’s anti-gun agenda writes itself: “Establishment Republicans In Georgia Side With Academic Leftists Against Gun Owners”.

PS – Romney signed a really good gun bill and he got bad advice from his political consultant at the time. When he signed the bill he painted it as anti-gun in his comments. If he had not listened to the consultant, he would have had a pro-gun reputation and would be president.

The Last Democrat in Georgia March 14, 2014 at 4:03 pm

Those are some good points as both Governor Nathan Deal and Lt. Governor Casey Cagle have repeatedly been said to have maneuvered behind the scenes to kill and disable good gun bills.

But as bad as Governor Deal and Lt. Governor Cagle have been in hampering the expansion of gun rights in Georgia, the election of a far-left Intowner from uber-liberal Decatur in Jason Carter would only make matters that much worse.

The election of an uber-liberal like Jason Carter would potentially put Georgia on a slippery slope to experiencing the type of long-term contraction of gun rights that has occurred in big liberal Northern states like New York and Illinois.

Deal and Cagle may not be the absolute most-friendly to Second Amendment rights, but I think that I’ll take my chances with Republicans who are at least receptive to expanding gun rights for law-abiding citizens as opposed to Democrats who will not hesitate to start contracting gun rights should they get the chance.

Unfortunately, when it comes to Second Amendment rights, we don’t always get a choice of candidates who are best for gun rights, we all-too-often only get to choose which candidates are the lesser of two evils…

…And in this particular case, Governor Nathan Deal and Georgia Republicans are most-definitely the lesser of two evils when it comes to expanding and protecting gun rights.

Second Amendment advocates should not think that whatever disagreements they may have with Governor Deal or Lt. Governor Cagle (or Saxby Chambliss or Johnny Isakson, etc) are worth permitting the election to statewide office of uber-liberal candidates like Jason Carter and Michelle Nunn, politicians who will be even more openly hostile to Second Amendment rights than what we currently have.

Like we’ve seen at the national level over the past few cycles, elections have consequences…huge consequences.

If Georgia Second Amendment advocates and Georgia Conservatives think that it would be okay to let the Governor’s office (and Saxby Chambliss’ U.S. Senate seat) slip out of Republican hands in November over what are otherwise relatively small policy disagreements, with Georgia’s demographics rapidly moving in favor of the Democrats, Second Amendment advocates and Conservatives would run a serious and dangerously-high risk of not seeing a gun rights-friendly Republican politician in the Governor’s office again for a very-long time, if ever.

Second Amendment advocates and Conservative voters need to take this election seriously and not stay at home and sit on their hands in November.

Ed March 14, 2014 at 12:07 pm

“Ask President McCain and Romney what happens when they are exposed as anti-gun.”

Yes. That’s what sunk McCain and Romney.

Blake March 14, 2014 at 2:05 pm

+1 lol

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