Reed Reluctant To Engage In Gov’s Race

January 13, 2014 10:00 am

by Charlie · 16 comments

This week’s Courier Herald Column:

In the frigid cold of early January, Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed offered a wet blanket to Democrats hoping to take back the Governor’s mansion this November.  On a day when temperatures dropped to the single digits, the chill from the Mayor towards Senator Jason Carter was still quite noticeable.

In remarks after the Mayor’s inauguration for a second term – a term for which the Mayor saw little organized opposition – Kasim Reed was remembering publicly that he still lacked support from those whom it would have cost nothing.

“I’ve won for mayor twice and Jason didn’t support me” he told members of the media.  He did, unenthusiastically, note that he would support the nominee of his party.  Yet support has many meanings, and has left Georgia’s newly enthused Democrats with many unanswered questions. 

Will the mayor’s support come with a “get out the vote” effort from Atlanta’s political machine? It is, after all, a critical mechanism for statewide Democrats. As such, the hopes of not only Jason Carter but Michelle Nunn hang in the balance.

There are at least three potential motivations behind the mayor’s stance and statement.  There’s likely a bit of all three that will affect the amount of effort the Mayor puts to helping one of his local State Senators and future potential rivals in his quest to take an important office from Republican hands.

The first is the obvious stated reason.  The Mayor is a man with a memory, and he remembers that Carter declined to support not only his long-shot initial candidacy, but also his no-risk reelection bid.  The first sin can be forgiven with time and contrition.  But the failure of support for a race Reed was sure to win demonstrates more of the budding rivalry that exists between the two greatest superstars on Georgia’s Democratic bench.

The second reason is that as Georgia Democrats rebuild their party and brand, they do not yet have an elected face to project as the leader.  As such, there is an open question as to whether the Democratic Party will be the party of Kasim Reed or of Jason Carter.  It does seem each is keenly aware of the opportunity to put a personal brand on Georgia’s Democrats.  Thus while politics is often a team sport, we have two potential rival starting quarterbacks reluctant to help the other showcase their talents on the field.

While the topic at hand is the 2014 Governor’s race, you would have to forgive both men if 2018 isn’t weighing on their minds.  Most Democrats still privately concede that this year is a long shot for their efforts, hinging as much on errors from Republicans as their ability to put their best campaign effort forward.  2018, however, will have far fewer incumbents on the ballot and four more years of demographic shifts that favor their party.  2018 will also be a year that Kasim Reed will be looking for a new job, perhaps the one that Jason Carter is seeking now.

Meanwhile, the man that Senator Carter wishes to unseat has been an unlikely ally of the Mayor.  Governor Nathan Deal and Mayor Reed have worked hand in hand on matters of the Savannah Port, helping resolve the Atlanta School Board crisis, and the ultimately unsuccessful metro Atlanta T-SPLOST campaign.

Which helps explain the context of the third reason the Mayor may be reluctant to give full support to a Carter gubernatorial candidacy.  At this time the Mayor has nothing to gain, and possibly a good working relationship to lose, should he decide to begin working against a Governor he has thus far been fairly successful in working with.

Reed and Deal have gained national notoriety for working together across the political aisle in an era that derides bi-partisanship.  Reed is also keenly aware that if he is to execute any dreams of being elected statewide, he cannot be seen as an Atlanta machine Democrat, but must be able to project that he understands the problems of the whole state.  Problems like traffic in Atlanta’s suburbs and the importance of a deeper port of Savannah.

Reed’s close working relationship with the Governor helps Governor Deal now and will likely serve the Mayor well in the future.  It makes sense, then, for the Mayor to keep his cards close to the vest for a bit longer.  Perhaps, four years longer.

Hosea January 13, 2014 at 10:27 am

Carter shouldn’t fret. Reed couldn’t help his city council nod squad members get re-elected last Fall. Surely he can’t help Carter win this Fall.

Thomas Adams (@GeorgiaCRE) January 13, 2014 at 10:30 am

Reed Reluctant To Engage In Gov’s Race – This week’s Courier Herald Column: In the frigid cold of early Jan… http://t.co/PLf5qw28X1

Chris Huttman January 13, 2014 at 10:42 am

Jason has never supported Kasim. Here he is confronting rumor that he (Jason) could have run for mayor himself in 2013.
https://twitter.com/SenatorCarter/status/159382835495583744

Harry January 13, 2014 at 11:00 am

The Democratic Party of Georgia voters being 85% minority, it’s hard to understand why the designated candidates for governor and senator are both white, and the Chairman of the party and top staff member are both white also.

Chris Huttman January 13, 2014 at 11:19 am

So by the same logic would you be upset if the Republicans one day had black nominees in Georgia for two top offices?

Harry January 13, 2014 at 1:09 pm

What if one day the GAGOP had a certain Atlanta ex-mayor statewide candidate? Just speculating.The guy is pro-business and probably not really social liberal. Sure he marched in the gay parade? That’s politics in Atlanta.

Michael Silver January 13, 2014 at 11:33 am

Should I be scared that Harry echos Senator Fort?

Per the Insider column at AJC:

“In 2013 the Democratic Party ought to reflect the rich diversity of Georgia Democrats. When you have a chairman who is white and an executive director who is white, that rich diversity is not reflected,”

http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2014/jan/08/your-daily-jolt-gov-nathan-deals-4-million-campaig/

South Fulton Guy January 13, 2014 at 11:54 am

this is after they let Rashad Richey the Political Director at Democratic Party of GA go, who happened to be Black…

Toxic Avenger January 13, 2014 at 12:49 pm

…for good reason.

South Fulton Guy January 13, 2014 at 12:58 pm

LOL

Mrs. Adam Kornstein January 13, 2014 at 11:03 am

One of these two young men is letting his political future slip from his hands, THE Mayor of Georgia.

His bulling, strong arming, retribution seeking and petty politics are already costing him a prominent place inside the party. Folks have little love for him any longer. He’s only useful as long as his friend is in White House. The Clinton people will pull out the long knives for him long before 2016.

Toxic Avenger January 13, 2014 at 12:53 pm

+1000000000

Hizzoner Reed not only had support from Jason Carter, Jason Carter held fundraisers for him. Jason supported Reed’s candidate for Party Chair. And, at one point, they were actually friends.

He’s an opportunistic you-know-what. He wanted a party chair to do his bidding, showed his ass during the election, and lost. Petulantly. He wanted nobody to run for Governor so he could have it all to himself in four years. And he didn’t get that, either.

I loathe Kasim Reed, and I am a tried and true Georgia Democrat. He’s everything wrong with politics in general, and I wouldn’t vote for him if you paid me to.

Hosea January 13, 2014 at 2:04 pm

Reed has lost every race, except his elections, in recent memory – TSPLOST, party chair, his 2013 slate of council candidates. Who gives a f%*k who he supports?

The Last Democrat in Georgia January 13, 2014 at 8:37 pm

Toxic Avenger, January 13, 2014 at 12:53 pm-

Reed should enjoy his shady ways while he’s still in office as mayor of Atlanta because when he runs for Governor in 2018, Reed is likely going to be completely humbled when he runs into a huge buzz saw by the name of (a much more-likable) Casey Cagle and a dominant Georgia GOP.

…That is, if the liberal base of the Georgia Democratic Party doesn’t turn against him first before the primary.

The Last Democrat in Georgia January 13, 2014 at 8:38 pm

Good analysis, Charlie.

Jon Lester January 14, 2014 at 1:00 am

Maybe there’s another possibility; Reed, too, may well have serious reservations about the state party’s apparent gamble on simple name-recognition, and its most-undemocratic treatment of other primary candidates. He won the old-fashioned way, by actually getting out and campaigning, against all odds, and most certainly not as an anointed one.

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