Carter’s Big Announcement

If you subscribe to the PP daily (and why wouldn’t you?) you would know that Jimmy’s Grandson teased a big announcement for today.

Now we know what it is.

A new poll finds that Nathan Deal is “vulnerable.” This poll is from the totally-objective-no-reason-to-have-skewed-results organization The Democratic Governor’s Association.

The poll apparently finds that 36% of those polled would vote to reelect Deal, with 49% saying they would vote for someone else.

In a head-to-head matchup, 44% would vote for Deal and 36% would vote for Carter. Well good, he’ll at least hit Mark Taylor’s baseline.

Perhaps most critically, the poll finds that if African-American turnout mimics past performance, it would be 42% Carter, 44% Deal. The pollsters also gave neutrally-worded descriptions of the two candidates’ careers and bios. When given that info, Carter leads 45% to 40%.

So does this mean Deal is vulnerable? Perhaps. We don’t have any statistics on who was polled or how many, etc. And, as Jason Pye pointed out, Nate Silver argues that internal polls are overly favorable by about 6%.

7 comments

  1. tdk790 says:

    That’s it?

    Coordinating with Dem groups to leak a poll is an interesting tactic if one plans on running on ethics.

    • Ed says:

      Why? Aren’t candidates allowed to work with their national campaign associations? I remember in college learning their are officially six parties for campaign purposes, the DNC, RNC and their senate/congressional campaign committees?

  2. Stefan says:

    Regarding the poll’s accuracy, I’d note that Nate Silver also said that Anzalone Liszt, who did the poll above, was one of the top three most accurate pollsters in the country. So there’s that.

  3. Three Jack says:

    The result shows just how vulnerable the GOP is next year if they continue to ignore Deal’s many transgressions. Maybe there is a partisan lean to the poll, but either way, many folks like myself will not continue to vote for ethically challenged candidates like Deal. It will be interesting to see if Barge or Pennington can get traction before it’s too late.

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