If you subscribe to the PP daily (and why wouldn’t you?) you would know that Jimmy’s Grandson teased a big announcement for today.
Now we know what it is.
A new poll finds that Nathan Deal is “vulnerable.” This poll is from the totally-objective-no-reason-to-have-skewed-results organization The Democratic Governor’s Association.
The poll apparently finds that 36% of those polled would vote to reelect Deal, with 49% saying they would vote for someone else.
In a head-to-head matchup, 44% would vote for Deal and 36% would vote for Carter. Well good, he’ll at least hit Mark Taylor’s baseline.
Perhaps most critically, the poll finds that if African-American turnout mimics past performance, it would be 42% Carter, 44% Deal. The pollsters also gave neutrally-worded descriptions of the two candidates’ careers and bios. When given that info, Carter leads 45% to 40%.
So does this mean Deal is vulnerable? Perhaps. We don’t have any statistics on who was polled or how many, etc. And, as Jason Pye pointed out, Nate Silver argues that internal polls are overly favorable by about 6%.