The National Journal has ranked the US Senate Seats that are most likely to switch parties, putting Georgia currently at number 9. The only other Republican held seat in their top 10 is Kentucky, at number 7. Thus, they currently think it is more likely that the Senate Minority Leader will lose his seat than Georgia will elect Steen Miles.
National Journal seems to favor those currently not in office, specifically Karen Handel and David Perdue, as Georgia’s best chance to stay red, naming Handel the strongest candidate:
The race will come down to whom Republicans nominate and whether Democrats can mobilize African-American turnout in the state. The three House members running—Reps. Paul Broun, Phil Gingrey, and Jack Kingston—all look like underwhelming candidates. Broun and Gingrey, in particular, have a history of controversial statements that spark memories of Todd Akin. But Republicans also have former Secretary of State Karen Handel and businessman David Perdue, who don’t have Washington baggage, in the mix. Handel, who gained fame from her outspoken opposition to Planned Parenthood grants at the Komen Foundation, would probably be their strongest candidate.
As in Indiana last year, Democrats have a capable candidate in Michelle Nunn, daughter of the former senator. They face the arduous but necessary task of identifying black voters and getting many to show up when Obama isn’t on the ballot. If Republicans nominate another not-ready-for-prime-time candidate, they could make this a race to watch.
This ends this week’s installment of National Publications analyze Georgia’s political races.