Poll Of Republican Doom.

A new PPP poll shows Michelle Nunn tied or leading all potential Republican rivals. Via Jim Galloway:

U.S. Rep. Phil Gingrey and David Perdue had the best showing against Nunn, a first-time candidate who last month headed up an Atlanta-based firm extolling volunteerism.

The survey by the Democratic-leaning firm in North Carolina is the first since Nunn entered the contest. The automated poll of 520 Georgia voters has a margin of error of +/-4.3 percentage points, and was conducted Aug. 2-4, according to Politico.com, which got first dibs on the crosstabs.

Cross tabs here (pdf).

Discuss.

16 comments

  1. Baker says:

    Copying and pasting another comment: You could just about use it for everything, particularly anything coming from the chatty high school girl that is Jim Galloway.

    This is NOTHING. I don’t know why he wouldn’t say what he was doing, but he damn sure ain’t running for governor. Unless he has a billionaire friend who really wants him there.

    “This is a Galloway/ Twitter/ Blogger drama trap that is based in zero reality for people to chatter away about while Nathan Deal sells his landfill or whatever the heck it is, Tom Graves to get further away from his bank loans, and Kasim Reed to continue to tell people the Falcons are getting $200 MILL (which is totally false).

    Don’t fall for the petty high school election drama junk, demand answers from the people who are in office NOW.”

    If we want the media to give better coverage, the people that follow this stuff regularly have got to start demanding better and not falling into these traps about polling and horse race sh%$ that has nothing to do with who is in office now and only goes to perpetuate the perma-election cycle we are in right now.

    • Baker says:

      Clearly, I should have left out the part that was relevant to the Barge running for governor part but the part in quotes is correct.

  2. George Chidi says:

    I’m pulling for a Democrat to win … but let’s be honest with ourselves, if no one else. A poll in which neither the Democrat nor the Republicans have more than 40 percent voter recognition cannot be taken seriously as an indication of relative support for an election to be held 15 months from now.

    The poll is about establishing a baseline, to see relative changes over time. A year from now, PPP will be able to say Nunn and Handel or Broun or Gingrey or whoever went from support level X to Y in 12 months.

    I would say that it supports the rationale of Nunn’s candidacy. But I’m a bit concerned that the poll didn’t even ask about Dr. Rad or Steen Miles — because that would go a long way toward measuring the relative value of Nunn’s candidacy compared to a “generic Democrat.” I strongly suspect that’s a measure Nunn’s camp would prefer to remain unexamined for the moment.

    • georgiahack says:

      Why would they ask about Steen Miles or Dr. Rad?

      Steen “newslady” Miles (don’t you love when people give themselves a nickname) is at best described as a political has-been who probably couldn’t raise enough money to pay the qualifying fee, let alone do any real voter outreach.

      Dr. Rad is a neophyte to the political world who has already hired some of the worst people in the business to help him. He may have a few nice ideas, but he is way in over his head and has no clue as to what to do.

      Including those two would be as useful as inserting your name into the poll.

      • sockpuppet says:

        Please go back and read two things that he said.

        1) “I’m pulling for a Democrat to win” which means he is on your side.
        2) “because that would go a long way toward measuring the relative value of Nunn’s candidacy compared to a “generic Democrat.”’

        Translation: he wants to be able to see if these folks are actual Michelle Nunn supporters are are just folks who are going to vote for any Democrat (or against the Republicans) regardless. You have A) your base voters that turn out for every primary, B) you have your independents who will vote for the best candidate and C) those in between. Only A) votes for “generic Democrat” but you need plenty of C) and some of B) to have a shot.

        In light of that: “Including those two would be as useful as inserting your name into the poll” … ummm yes. That was his whole point. He would have been a “generic Democrat.” So inserting his name into the poll would have been useful for his purposes of determining exactly how strong a candidate Ms. Nunn might actually be.

  3. northside101 says:

    The poll only had 24 percent of respondents being black, but in the last midterm election (201o), according to data from the Secretary of State’s Office (Elections Division—“Credit for Voting” reports), blacks accounted for 28 percent of the state’s total turnout that year (30 percent in the 2012 presidential election). So perhaps Democratic numbers are understated here. Would be interesting to see the breakdown between metro Atlanta and the rest of the state—in the last decade or so, Democratic numbers have gotten better overall in the 28-county metro Atlanta area and worse overall in the rest of the state—Obama for instance got just under 50 percent in metro Atlanta last fall but just 40 percent in the rest of the state.

  4. Dave Emanuel says:

    Tell me what you want to prove, and I’ll design a poll to deliver the desired results. But manipulated numbers aside, any poll at this point will have little relevance to the results of a general election. All one has to do is look over results of primary elections versus a subsequent runoff. It’s not at all unusual for the candidate who received the most votes in the primary to lose (sometimes handily) in a runoff.

    As with most elections, Republicans will vote for the Republican candidate, Democrats will vote for the Democrat candidate and the election will be decided by the undecideds. For Republicans, the danger is that for undecided voters, Michelle Nunn is a viable alternative to a candidate who is perceived as being too far to the right. Unfortunately, a large number of voters will not realize that a vote for Nunn is a vote for Obama.

  5. Herb says:

    Nunn runs away with this one, especially given that the nominee for the pugs will be either Paul Broun or Phil Gingrey. We may even have a shot at the Governorship(Squeal, Penny, and little john are about as bad as it gets for the pugs), some other statewide offices(I’m particularly amped about our chances at finally ousting those gasbags Butler, Cagle, and Hudgens), and both legislative chambers. We will also win the seats in ME, NE, KY, and SC and lose no seats, taking us to 60 seats in the Senate, and a fillibuster-proof majority. This and a Democratic House majority(which there will be in 2015) will give Obama loads of leg room. I’m excited about how we’re doing.

      • KingRichard says:

        Herb – I hope you are absolutely incorrect. I don’t care for Socialism/Communism/Marxism/Big Giant Government. These radicals are running the left leaning party here in America right now and they are ball deep in the democratic donkey steering it down a road to perfect ruin. I stand for Liberty and Life.

    • Noway says:

      Herb, please pass me some of what you’re smoking. I think it would be worth my taking a chance on failing a drug test just to experience those hallucinations!

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