Partial Results From First Poll On Chambliss Replacement

January 26, 2013 11:15 am

by Mike Hassinger · 18 comments

I’ve been getting bombarded with requests for results from the poll on the potential candidates in the 2014 contest to fill the US Senate seat of Saxby Chambliss, who announced Friday he would not see re-election. The full survey, conducted by Apache Political (disclosure: my firm) in partnership with HEG On Target Solutions, will be available first to subscribers to the new Peach Pundit Daily e-newsletter. (subscribe, while it’s free, here.) The (now corrected version) of the top line summary though, is available now, to anyone interested enough to be reading Peach Pundit on the weekend, right here.  USSenateSurvey_PressReleasecorrected (It’s a pdf.) (Link was broken before. Fixed now.)

Enjoy.

Monday UPDATE: New Release USSenateSurvey_release012813. Page 1 of Dem crosstabs Democrat Poll Results_q1 crosstabs. Page 2 of Dem crosstabs Democrat Poll Results_q1 crosstabs.2. Page 1 of GOP crosstabs Republican Poll Results_q1 crosstabs. Page  2 of GOP crosstabs Republican Poll Results_q1 crosstabs.2.

bowersville January 26, 2013 at 1:07 pm

Wow. It’s like not buying a new car in 15 years and visiting a new car dealership and comparing cost by looking at price stickers. Cain being the cost of the car and the undecideds being the standard factory equipment and the rest optional accessories.

Sticker shock!

Obi's Sister January 26, 2013 at 1:08 pm

Interesting… VERY surprised at Herman Cain being at the top of the GOP list.

xdog January 26, 2013 at 2:40 pm

I’m not. He’s got the name recognition. I don’t know who you would expect to rate higher.

imo those looking to further gop interests by dumping the crazies and offering less ideologically bound candidates should take heart in the large undecided column.

Along those lines, I wonder why the choices read ‘Undecided’ for gopers and ‘Unsure’ and ‘Someone else’ for donks.

Bob Loblaw January 26, 2013 at 5:44 pm

Herman is on the air every day in the State’s largest media market with the largest audience of any drive-time morning show. Why would it be a surprise that he’s atop a name id contest?

tdk790 January 26, 2013 at 6:08 pm

The Dem field looks particularly lackluster as I don’t think Reed will jump (though I have no idea).

As Bob said above, Cain leading isn’t a surprise; him being included in the poll is. Price would likely get a boost when he and Handel are both not splitting their base and vice versa.

Bob Loblaw January 27, 2013 at 10:29 am

Exactly, TDK. Get him out of the poll so this could show us a real brushfire snapshot of the electorate. No more doubletalk!

Three Jack January 27, 2013 at 10:43 am

Remove Cain and I bet Undecided is the biggest winner which is a good thing.

Bull Moose January 27, 2013 at 2:31 am

Blue 32

NorthGAGOP January 27, 2013 at 7:21 am

At this point this is just a name ID poll. Cain has already said he is not running, why is he even in the poll?

cheapseats January 27, 2013 at 11:25 am

The surprise in these results is that anybody at all picked Sonny! Good grief!
Maybe all those folks who say education is our biggest problem in GA are right. *sigh*

Dave Bearse January 27, 2013 at 1:56 pm

What better place for an ex do-nothing Governor than a do-nothing Senate?

Dave Bearse January 27, 2013 at 1:55 pm

Interesting that the non-partian pollster leading the poll reports Republicans “undecided” and Democrats “unsure”. The reporting leads one to believe the question(s) were different beyond the obvious differences in names.

John Konop January 27, 2013 at 2:10 pm

I would bet that the Tom Price people were happy to see he out polled Perdue who has run statewide. I would be shocked if Cain ran, between his great radio deal and the other issues….why would he run? As I said the early money should be on Tom, especially if Phil does not. He has metro Atlanta in the bag and has won in Cobb and Fulton. The math really works in his favor.

Bob Loblaw January 27, 2013 at 3:27 pm

If Olens ran he’d eat up that geographic block you say would lean Price.

John Konop January 27, 2013 at 4:20 pm

Good point and he has ran statewide and won. That is also why I would not count out Cagle. But of the house members Tom has the best chance. Do Sam or Casey even want to deal with Washington?

Daddy Got A Gun January 27, 2013 at 4:38 pm

I heard AG Olens speak at the Conservative Solutions Conference. He seems quite content with the intellectual challenges of his current job. In fact, he probably has more of an opportunity to have a significant impact on national policy as AG versus being one of a bunch of stuffed corrupt shirts in the Capitol.

We are very fortunate to have Gov Deal and AG Olens in office. They both have a breadth of knowledge that is exceptional and they “get it”.

Harry January 27, 2013 at 9:10 pm

I’ve come to the same opinion.

Dave Bearse January 27, 2013 at 11:08 pm

Deal has gotten it all right.

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