It’s been an uphill climb the entire way, but a new Rosetta Stone poll, as reported by the Cox juggernaut of Lori Geary for WSB and Jim Galloway for the AJC, have what may be the Achilles heel being ripped at by new opposition. The measure losing favor among Democrats.
Seventy-one percent of Republicans in metro Atlanta now oppose the referendum, but only 50 percent of Democrats support the July 31 vote. Broken down by race, 47 percent of African-American supporters favor the referendum. Sixty-seven percent of white voters oppose it.
The calculus for passing this measure has always been that a large number of intown Democrats would have to outweigh suburban Republican “no” votes. Instead, while in-town electeds mostly stand behind the measure, the NAACP and rogue elected like Senator Vincent Fort are actively campaigning against the measure.
We’ll dig deeper into this later, but the fatal construct of T-SPLOST to double tax in-town residents for transit while continuing to hamstring MARTA to appease suburbanites who already oppose the measure now looks like a recipe for doom.