The folks running Citizens for Transportation Mobility and Untie Atlanta find themselves exactly where some people told them they would find themselves -if you believe the results of a poll by WSB-TV/Rosetta Stone Communications. And since the poll was featured on WSB-TV, it must be true.
It shows that in the 10-County metropolitan Atlanta area 41% of voters support the T-SPLOST, 45% oppose it and 13% are undecided. What’s remarkable is that when the pollsters grouped the counties into “urban” counties and “suburban” counties, the “urban” folks supported it 52% for/33% against, and the “suburban” folks opposed by pretty much exactly that same margin – 54% against/33% for.
But we all know that “urban” is a code word. People say “urban” when they mean “Fulton and DeKalb Counties.” So in counties that have been paying an extra 1% sales tax for MARTA for three decades, another extra 1% sales tax for regular old transportation seems like a good idea. In the Desperate Housewives areas, though, any extra 1% for regular old transportation appears to be not such a good idea.
The mirror image divide seems to break exactly the same way along racial and political lines as well. See the full crosstabs for yourself here or here. In other words, “Voters who are likely to vote YES will largely be Democrats, Independents, Blacks, Latino, and liberal Whites.” That’s not from the recent WSB-TV/Rosetta Stone poll. That’s a conclusion from 20/20 Insight, from their poll conducted almost a year ago.
It looks like if the CTM folks can turn out those “urban” voters, this thing will pass in a squeaker. Just like the trauma care vote did in the 10-county metro region. But feel free to make your own predictions in the comments.