Jason Carter For Mayor Of Atlanta?

We bloggers are pretty good about designing dream scenarios that have little basis in reality.  But when a blogger happens to be a former mayor of Atlanta, and posts this on her Blogging While BLUE website, then the rest of us should probably at least pause and say “hmmmmm”.

Sen. Carter and Rep. Abrams are viewed as rising stars in Georgia’s Democratic Party. Maybe if one of the two ran for mayor and used that office as a four year platform to run for Governor they would have a chance to win. Imagine if Carter ran for mayor in 2013 or 2017 and became the first White mayor of Atlanta in forty years. National press would follow and he would be poised to make a run at the governor’s mansion in 2018 or 2022. Abrams has as attractive qualities as well. She has already broken barriers as the first woman to lead a legislative caucus in Georgia.
Feel free to discuss below how likely you think this scenario may be, what Mayor Franklin may be strategizing with this post, and perhaps more importantly, if you agree with her assertion that Democrats under the Gold Dome are currently “wasting their time.”
 

18 comments

  1. Charlie says:

    I’ll note that while I was typing the above, the AJC’s Kyle Wingfield and Aaron Sheinin enjoyed a bit of twitter banter with Mayor Franklin about the above post. It does appear that while listed as a Decatur resident, Carter does live in the City of Atlanta, in Candler Park.

    Also, if you’re not, follow @KwingfieldAJC, @sheinin, and @bwbblog for the above mentioned players, as well as @peachpundit for our most recent posts here, and @icaruspundit for whatever I happen to be thinking as a stream of consciousness during debates.

  2. dsean says:

    ‘…if you agree with her assertion that Democrats under the Gold Dome are currently “wasting their time.”’

    I’d say that most probably are. The GOP controls every statewide office and has super-majorities in both houses of the General Assembly. That’s partly through creative gerrymandering and partly through demographic shifts. Unless there’s some major change, the state is likely to lean republican for the foreseeable future. If the democrats want to groom someone for executive office, they either have to win a statewide race, have a leadership role in the Assembly, or focus on the Atlanta or Savannah mayoral offices. Moreover, Atlanta has a pretty broad constituency, from far left to far right, and being able to navigate those interest groups could provide legitimate experience that can be sold to voters across the state.

    Ultimately though, the state democratic party seems to be in complete shambles. They haven’t really offered up a viable candidate for a statewide race since Roy Barnes was voted out of office in 2002. Kasim Reed might be viable for the governor’s race in 2014 or 2018, depending on how Atlanta progresses over the next few years.

  3. CobbGOPer says:

    “Kasim Reed might be viable for the governor’s race in 2014 or 2018”

    And he’ll get his rear-end kicked by a good ole’ boy, either Raw Deal or a handpicked successor. Reed’s post-mayoral job? Either 1) Obama 2nd term cabinet-level or high-level appointment or 2) John Lewis finally retires and Reed becomes the new Congressman-for-Life from the 5th District.

    I don’t see him winning statewide office in the next decade without serious demographic shifts. In fact, without serious demographic shifts I don’t see any non-white, non-male candidates winning statewide office anytime soon.

    • dsean says:

      I don’t entirely disagree with you. I think a cabinet appointment in a second Obama term (god forbid) or Lewis’ House seat are certainly more of a lock than the governor’s mansion. From my perspective as an in-town, libertarian-leaning independent voter, Reed has been a better mayor than that his immediate predecessors were, and seems like he’d be an obvious choice for the democrats if he chose to run. Assuming he doesn’t screw anything up, he would have a solid record as mayor and could be viable as a candidate if he ran as a moderate. I’m certainly not saying that he would win, but as far as paths to the governor’s mansion for democratic politicians go, it’s better than being in the General Assembly.

  4. NoTeabagging says:

    Any ambitious and well meaning politician should distance themselves from any party as much as possible. The more they can do the right thing for all citizens, without invoking the R or D words, the better off they will be for maintaining trust with the citizens and perhaps actually make good legislation.

  5. Andre says:

    Since the subject of dream scenarios was broached, allow me to present my personal dream scenario.

    In my dream world, Johnny Isakson would leave the U.S. Senate, come marching back home to Georgia, and become our state’s next Governor after eight years of Nathan Deal. Herman Cain would start a political comeback by seeking and winning the Senate held by Isakson.

    That would be oh so amazing.

    • CobbGOPer says:

      Negative on Herman Cain. Karen Handel should be our next Senatorial candidate should Sax or Johnny decide to retire…

      And I say that in spite of my comments above.

      • Andre says:

        I have another dream scenario that involves Karen Handel serving as Lt. Governor under Isakson. Then, after 8 years of Johnny, Karen runs for Governor and wins.

  6. The Last Democrat in Georgia says:

    Democrats viable for the Governor’s office? In what state? California?

    Shirley Franklin and the rest of the last few remaining Democrats in the state of Georgia can have lucid dreams and wild hallucinations about once again being competitive for statewide office all that they want, but politicians like Jason Carter, Stacey Abrams and Kasim Reed all have one slight problem that would prevent them from ever succeeding in winning statewide office and not being embarrassed in a Governor’s race….They all have a (D) in front of their names.

    I don’t know what Mayor Franklin has been smoking, but it sure sounds like something really potent as a Democrat couldn’t even get elected to clean up Republican messes in public restrooms of state office buildings right now.

    Heck, even the term “Democrat” is pretty much more politically radioactive than Chernobyl outside of I-285 these days as the word is considered to be a highly-offensive and derogatory term that the overwhelming majority of Georgians equate with treason and anti-Americanism. Given that background, a Democrat winning the Governor’s office isn’t even remotely realistic at this point.

  7. SallyForth says:

    Only one problem – outside 285, people think Atlanta is not part of Georgia, so being Mayor here would be a negative, not a positive….
    Can anybody say “Wandering in the wilderness for a very long time”? 😐

  8. Ed says:

    ” Atlanta has a pretty broad constituency”

    It really doesn’t. Having pockets of conservatives or libertarians doesn’t make a broad constituency.

    Lewis will leave office when he dies and not a moment sooner.

    Smarter people than me say the demographics are changing and Metro Atlanta will make up most of Georgia’s population. That’s really the only short(er) term way Democrats can return to power. I believe we’ll see it even more in the future of statewide candidates running either exclusively metro campaigns or to the rest of the state, which really isn’t an uncommon scenario in the rest of the country.

    Reed, however, is really the only political figure showing true statewide leadership and he was handed a golden ticket with the Savannah port, being able to make it an Atlanta issue. If he can continue to tackle that and other issues while Deal faces ethics investigations and a legislature that’s squabbling so much they can’t achieve anything (and is it hard to picture that being the case) I wouldn’t be surprised if he does make serious inroads toward being Governor or Senator.

    • The Last Democrat in Georgia says:

      Ralph Reed has a better chance of being elected Governor or U.S. Senator than Kasim Reed.

      Does anyone SERIOUSLY think that a Liberal Black Democrat Mayor of Atlanta who openly and proudly supports the Obama Agenda really has a snowball’s chance in Hell of being elected Governor of or U.S. Senator from an increasingly Conservative Georgia when Democrats, ESPECIALLY, Liberal Black Democrat Mayors of Atlanta, are pretty much universally hated and despised outside of I-285?

      It’s pretty obvious that people who live inside of I-285 vastly underestimate just how much Democrats are HATED (with a passion) outside of I-285 as a Democrat couldn’t even get elected to scrape the remains of dead animals off the road in Georgia right now.

      • drjay says:

        well, a couple of things, ga’s demographics are changing as time moves along, obama got about what 47 or so % in 08, so it’s not like he lost ga in some crazy landslide, and actually outside the perimeter there are still strong dem pockets in the other cities like macon and sav’h, and even in the rural areas i am pretty sure dem sheriffs still outnumber the gop ones by a fair amt. if the gop is complacent and rests on it’s laurels, it may be suprised to see its control of the state more fleeting than it anticipated…so long view, a patient kasim reed might be a very attractive candidate for any number of offices once he completes 8 years at city hall…

        • Burroughston Broch says:

          A very patient Michael Thurmond served 12 years in the legislature and then 12 years as Secretary of Labor, before going down in flames (39% to 58%) against Johnny Isakson. Longevity in office doesn’t appear to guarantee success, particularly statewide in GA when you have a D beside your name. The D will continue to be a liability until the Democrats can get their act together, which doesn’t appear likely in the near future.

          It would be interesting to see an Atlanta Mayoral race between Carter and Abrams. Any bets on how early the race card would be thrown down? My guess is it would be early and often, effectively destroying the “progressive” image that urban Democrats try to project.

          • The Last Democrat in Georgia says:

            The biggest impediment to winning statewide office for Georgia Democrats is the NATIONAL Democrat party that they belong to…(Can anyone say HARD-LEFT turn?)

          • drjay says:

            i don’t mean patient in the sense that he just be in office a long time, more patient in the sense that an unfettered gop will have many opportunities to make mistakes upon which he could capitalize–and that the demographics should tend to be more favorable as time goes by…and the latter is really the bigger issue, if places like gwinnett and cobb truly do become competitive for dem candidates in the next couple of cycles, then the state has the potential as a whole to once again be competitive…

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