Georgia To Be Top Dog On Super Tuesday

January 12, 2012 9:55 am

by Nathan · 7 comments

Georgia’s delegation to the Republican National Convention will be the 4th largest in the nation (if the rules are enforced and Florida’s delegation is cut in half), but what’s better is that we might get a little more of the spotlight now that Texas has decided to push their presidential primary to April 4th rather than holding it on Super Tuesday (March 6th), according to today’s morning jolt from Jim Galloway.  Texas has a total of 155 delegates allocated compared to Georgia’s 76.

Perhaps just as important, Virginia has sidelined itself by limiting its ballot to Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. Other candidates, the state party ruled, didn’t come up with the required and vetted 10,000 signatures. Virginia has only 49 delegates, but its proximity to the District of Columbia would have meant an oversized media focus.

“You don’t have the whole field competing there. I guess Romney and Paul could,” Kemp surmised.

That leaves Georgia and Ohio (66 delegates) as the largest prizes. “If the race continues to Super Tuesday, we’re in a position to be very relevant that day. And that’s what we were hoping for,” the secretary of state said. “We’ll have to see how it plays out.”

I know Romney has won both Iowa (28 delegates…although they’re not bound since the State Convention selects the delegates) and New Hampshire (12 delegates if the rules are enforced and their delegation is cut by half), and he looks to be on his way to win South Carolina (25 delegates again, if the rules are enforced and their delegation is cut by half), but that only makes up 65 delegates so far…again, Georgia has 76 total delegates.  Not to mention, more states, including Georgia, have gone to a proportional delegate allocation system, so this primary fight will continue further along than South Carolina.

As Yogi Berra said:  “it ain’t over ’til it’s over.”  Georgia’s stock in the GOP presidential nomination race is going up.  Early voting begins on Monday, February 13th.

Andre January 12, 2012 at 11:17 am

Despite the media’s focus on candidates winning states, the presidential nomination process has always been about winning delegates.

Over half of Georgia’s Republican National Convention delegates will be awarded at the congressional district level.

So the question remains which candidate has the infrastructure to compete in each of our state’s fourteen congressional districts.

Nathan January 12, 2012 at 11:24 am

Yep. That’s the thing. It’s not a matter of 50% +1 of the popular vote, a plurality in 26 states, or anything like that. The magic number to win is 1,144. Romney and the rest of the GOP field have a long way to go before that number is reached.

drjay January 12, 2012 at 3:58 pm

they do and it is, but a winner is going to emerge before the convention, 1976 was the last time there was any sort of doubt at one. people will drop out and release their delegates, and when they do and later states become two or at most three way races, big chunks will go in one direction or another, if the gop still has “unpledged” delegates, they will almost certainly gravitate to the “winner” so even if the inside baseball counting of delegates is “important”, winning the state will be “the thing”

Andre January 12, 2012 at 6:41 pm

Inside baseball it may be, but accrue enough delegates and a candidate suddenly gets a little respect and a little power on the convention floor.

Delegates not only select the presidential nominee; delegates also vote on the platform, and delegates vote on the Rules of the Republican Party.

While winning states is nice, I’d rather win delegates, As a candidate, I’d rather walk into the convention with four or five hundred delegates in my back pocket. With four or five hundred delegates pledged to me, I wouldn’t necessarily have to win the presidential nomination. With that many delegates, I could leave my mark on the Republican Party and in a lot of ways, that is better than winning the presidential nomination.

View from Brookhaven January 12, 2012 at 2:36 pm

I look forward to hanging out with Mitt over at Tommy’s.

Tiberius January 12, 2012 at 3:12 pm

Even if he doesn’t win statewide, Romney should do well in the 1st (McCain won it), the 4th, the 5th, the 6th, the 7th (with Forsyth now) and the 11th (with Buckhead). the 9th and 14th will be week and the 4th and 13th close.

saltycracker January 12, 2012 at 8:39 pm

So what’s the Newt/Rick takeaway from Romney/Bain here ? That, unlike Romney they are not going to close agencies or fire government workers to balance the books ?

Why not get Obama to ask his buddy Jeff (China here we come) Immelt how that works at GE ? Bain never pulled an Obama/GM to push bondholders aside and hand the company over to the union or transferred billions to Goldman by getting to Feds to bail out AIG – still unpaid.

How’s everyone else doing keeping paper mills & washing machine mfg. in the U.S. ? Bain has a list of a lot more successes than failures……Risk takers do some things we don’t like with private capital and when it doesn’t work, tough for them…..beats a taxpayer bailout…..
(doesn’t mean some tweaks with regulations can’t mellow debt leveraging and tax advantages)

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