2011 is starting to wind down which means that the 2012 elections will begin to heat up. I decided to peer into the proverbial crystal ball locked away in the Peach Pundit command center and see what sort of things I could prognosticate. I hope you enjoy these…I might even revisit these at the end of next year to see how off-target I was. Feel free to share your own predictions in the comments.
Nathan’s 2012 Predictions:
Senator Chip Rogers out as majority leader in the state senate. Senate GOP caucus replaces Sen. Rogers with someone who would still be considered “anti-Cagle”, but would be willing to establish a peace with the Lieutenant Governor and granting some power back to Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle. Some order is back in the state senate, but still dysfunctional.
- With the state senate still in disarray, the state house becomes the more powerful chamber.
- The Georgia economy continues to lag in 2012, so paramutual betting and casinos get a more serious look from the legislature. Governor Deal will still continue to publicly denounce the idea, but he might allow for a serious look through different channels behind the scenes.
- The Republicans are able to win a super-majority in the state house, but misses it in the state senate.
- Georgia’s Congressional Districts:
- Dispite a large backing of the Tea Party of Martha Zoller, Rep. Doug Collins becomes the new gentleman from Georgia’s Hall County-centered 9th Congressional District.
- Congressman John Barrow is defeated in the 12th district and Georgia becomes a 10-4 GOP Congressional delegation.
- Newt does something to falter and loses Iowa to Ron Paul. Ron Paul makes a good showing in New Hampshire, but loses to Romney. Romney takes South Carolina to build enough momentum to head into Super Tuesday.
- Rick Santorum does something shocking and wins a primary state…maybe even Florida.
- Santorum, Bachmann, Perry, and Huntsman drop out of race after Super Tuesday.
- “Romney is the inevitable” advocates are right. Newt isn’t able to hold on to the momentum and voters are turned-off to Ron Paul due to differences in foreign policy. Romney becomes GOP nominee and possibly picks Gov. Nikki Hailey or Gov. Bobby Jindal as his running-mate.
- Newt wins plurality in Georgia, Romney is 2nd, followed by Cain in 3rd place dispite his campaign “suspension”.
- Newt drops out of presidential run and endorses Romney. He might even get a cabinent-level position in exchange of support.
- Republicans hold on to large majority in the US House. Scott Brown loses senate race in MA, but Republicans will get a slight majority in the US Senate…around 52 or 53 seats. Despite having a majority in both chambers, Democrats will still hold up legislation via filibuster.
- Republicans are able to defeat President Barack Obama to win back the White House, but only barely.
One last general prediction: World doesn’t end due to the lapse of the Mayan calendar. The Snowpocalypse might get us, but the Mayans can’t take us down.