With the new House district lines finalized, it’s time to do our biennial ranking of the Most-Republican Districts and Most-Democratic Districts. We’ll do the Senate districts later.
Just like with Rolling Stone Magazine’s Top 500 Songs, there are a hundred methods to judge “Most Republican” or Most Democratic”. After all…Rolling Stone puts Rod Stewart’s “Do Ya Think I’m Sexy?” above Billy Joel’s “Piano Man.” (really.)
This is a report of the Ideal Republican Vote, district by district. It’s an average of several of the most successful election results for statewide (non-Presidential) Republican candidates over the past six years. This ranking does not take into account individual legislator’s election results. It’s about districts themselves relative to all other districts – not the legislator.
Other methods to determine the Most Republican or Most Democratic districts include comparing election results for Public Service Commission candidates to determine relative partisan voting strength, and/or identifying the lowest Republicans have statistically done on a district-by-district basis (and then picking the ‘highest of the lowest).
But this simply identifies the statistical Ideal of GOP candidates within each district.
My colleagues at Landmark, including Mike Seigle, Gabriel Sterling, Mark Pettitt and Andrew Pantino, were essential in accumulating, inputting, researching and analyzing the data. For our own utilization we have ranked them 1-180.
TOP TEN REPUBLICAN HOUSE DISTRICTS:
Defined by averaging the best election results for non-Presidential statewide Republican candidates in various elections from 2006-2010, rounded:
Rank District Ideal Republican % Incumbent
#1. 27 86 % Doug Collins (Hall/Forsyth/White (to be open in ’12)
#2. 26 85 % (OPEN/Forsyth)
#3. 24 84 % Mark Hamilton (Forsyth)
#4. 22 83 % Calvin Hill (Cherokee/N Fulton/SW Forsyth)
#5. 31 83% Tommy Benton (Jackson)
#6. 25 83% Mike Dudgeon (Forsyth)
#7. 10 81% Rick Austin (Habersham/White)
#8. 9 80% Amos Amerson (Lumpkin/Dawson)
#9. 21 80% Sean Jerguson (Cherokee)
#10. 114 80% Len Walker (W. Walton)
Tomorrow…the Top 10 Best Democrat House Seats