“Once-in-a-decade nerdfest for pundits…”

Georgia’s redistricting process was mentioned in a very in-depth interview with David Wasserman 0f The Cook Political Report at Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver’s “political calculus” blog in the New York Times. Highlights:

Dave Wasserman: “Well, Georgia is a great state for them. They’re going to draw the new seat in Georgia for themselves. They can also draw John Barrow , the only white Democrat left in Georgia, out of a seat.”

And:

Dave Wasserman: “There is a certain threshold at which voters react badly to excessive gerrymandering. We saw that in Georgia in the earlier part of the last decade where Georgia Democrats engineered a gerrymander that looked like a Jackson Pollack painting. Democrats failed to achieve the kind of gains that they were hoping for in that map in part because voters rejected the way in which the lines were drawn and saw it as a Democratic power grab.”

There’s your dynamic for the upcoming redistricting session in Georgia. Republicans can draw themselves safe districts with some leeway, partly because the Democratics did it to them the last time they drew maps, and partly because everyone expects the incumbent party to do so. But they can’t go too far. How far “too far” is probably depends on your level of partisanship.

 

2 comments

  1. GaConservative23 says:

    After the redistricting session and the 2012 elections, Republicans will control 10 out of Georgia’s 14 districts.

    They’ll go after John Barrow, by giving Kingston some of his Democrats. And they’ll shore up Sanford Bishop’s district while making the 8th a little safer for Austin Scott’s reelection.

    And the new 14th will certainly be a Republican-friendly district.

  2. Scott65 says:

    They need to tread lightly…2012 will not be nearly as favorable to Republicans as 2010. Their map might come back to haunt them in coming years as demographics change and have changed rapidly in this state

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