Anecdote: I voted this morning. I didn’t vote early, hoping maybe a meteor would strike Earth or something and I wouldn’t have to complete this ballot. But alas, God decided the world could live another day, and I didn’t have time to put off voting until this afternoon, just in case hellfire is scheduled for lunch instead.
I arrived at my polling place at 7:10. I left at 8:00. There was quite a long line that the poll workers did manage to keep moving. I believe I was voter 405. This is a precinct that is represented by David Scott, Doug Stoner, and Rob Teilhet. While Cobb County, it’s not a Republican stronghold. Democrats were willing to stand in line to vote this morning.
Data: I’m told that African American turnout for early voting was over 29%, about equal to that of 2008 (Have since been corrected. Total turnout was 29% in ’08, but early voting turnout was 34%. Still; not a huge drop off from the intensity of 2008). If those numbers hold for voting today, then most pollsters models have undersampled Democrats’ voting strength.
This puts the question of a Governor’s race runoff squarely on the table (though I’ll stand by my earlier prediction), as well as puts other close races into the “worth watching” category: Attorney General, GA-2, and possibly even GA-8. My gut still tells me that Austin wins by a decent margin in GA-2, but I’ve had a hard time believing GA-2 turns against Bishop if there is average or better Democratic turnout. As other commenters have posted, it really is a canary in the coal mine. If Keown wins, begin looking West for the rest of the evening to see how big this wave really is.
Feel free to use the comments section to share any anecdotes or data you may have.