Landmark Poll

Landmark Communications Poll Release:
Deal leads Barnes 49-42% heading into final days

Attorney General: Olens (R) leads Hodges (D) 47-40%
School Superintendent: Barge (R) leads Martin (D) 48-36%

(Duluth)—Despite a slight tightening in the race for governor, Republican Nathan Deal continues to lead Democrat Roy Barnes by 49 to 42 percent.  Libertarian John Monds carries 4 percent.

“Nothing has effectively changed since we last conducted a statewide survey a week ago,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications. “Barnes’ support has increased slightly as traditional voting groups solidify. But Deal’s numbers have not moved much. The attacks on him by Barnes are not working at this point.”

FIRST BALLOT TEST ON A POTENTIAL RUNOFF VOTE: Landmark asked voters how they would vote between Deal and Barnes in the event of a runoff election. 51 percent of voters chose Deal and 43 percent chose Barnes – an 8-point margin.

Rountree said, “Libertarians decidedly come down on the side of Deal. Third party voters say they would support Deal over Barnes by a 3 to 1 margin.”

In the race for Attorney General, Republican Sam Olens leads Democrat Ken Hodges by 47 to 40 percent.

In the race for School Superintendent, Republican John Barge leads Democrat Joe Martin by 48 to 36 percent.

Landmark Communications polled 1,686 randomly selected active voters on Tuesday, October 26. Only voters who said they would “definitely vote” or “likely vote” are included in the final analysis.  Voters who did not identify themselves as “definitely” or “likely” to vote were not included in the final analysis. 25.8 percent of respondents were African American, a traditional number for gubernatorial year elections in Georgia. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.4 percent.

You can download the results directly from landmarkcommunications.net.

8 comments

  1. Jeff says:

    Third party voters say they would support Deal over Barnes by a 3 to 1 margin.

    And Libertarians get accused of smoking some wild stuff!

    What the HELL is that GOP stooge Mark Rountree smoking now, and where can I get some?

    From my own conversations with Ga Libertarians, they are at BEST 50/50, more like 60-40 – and possibly even 3 to 1 for Roy Barnes.

    • Hi Jeff. It’s pretty simple, really. Try math rather than vitriol, it’s some pretty good stuff.

      Remember that a voter doesn’t have to be a libertarian — some Republicans are voting for Monds in protest, just as some Democrats are voting for him over Barnes.

      I’m sure you feel like you have personally spoken to enough libertarian voters to be scientifically accurate, but I’d suggest rechecking that premise.

      4% of voters say they are voting for John Monds. Most go to Nathan Deal on the second (Runoff) ballot. That’s why his number rises from 48.5 to 51%. Barnes goes from 42 to 43%.

      • Jeff says:

        Again, I’ve talked to quite a few Monds supporters – not just LP members – and I stand by what I said earlier. I do not see them going to Deal over Barnes. Most say they would rather see split government than see Deal swindle more MILLIONS from the State, and don’t buy into GOP fearmongering over the man who was more conservative than Sonny Perdue.

        • Doug Grammer says:

          Jeff,

          Part of the math you may not be taking into account is that Gov. Barnes supporters are not really fired up. The GOP has a more solid base that will show up for a run off, if there is one.

          I am not disputing the accuracy of the poll, but polls are a snap shot in time. More ads, new stories, undecided that have yet to decide, and the national mood may increase GOP votes.

    • polisavvy says:

      My, my, my. How things can change in a matter of a few months! Austin Scott and his entire team are doing a fantastic job covering the 8th like the dew covers Georgia. The hard work is showing and it’s not appearing to be very good news for Marshall. Loving every minute of this!!

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