From the Macon Telegraph’s POLITICAL NOTEBOOK:
Some forecasters had moved Georgia’s 8th Congressional District from likely Democratic to toss-up.
Now Nate Silver, who runs the FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times, gives Austin Scott a better-than-even chance of beating Jim Marshall for the 8th District, which runs through major parts of Middle Georgia. Marshall is said to have a 62-percent chance of losing.
The blog also gave Sanford Bishop a 23-percent chance of losing the 2nd Congressional District seat, though those numbers apparently predate news that Bishop arranged scholarships for family members and people he knew.
Silver correctly predicted the 2008 presidential election results in 49 of 50 states, missing only Indiana.