GOP Sweep Coming?

A new 11Alive/V-103 poll suggests the GOP could sweep the major offices up for election this year. While it looks good for the GOP, only incumbents Isakson and Cagle currently poll over 50%. However, the margin of error could push the others over that mark.

If the election for Georgia Governor were today, who you vote for? Republican Nathan Deal? Democrat Roy Barnes? Or Libertarian John Monds?

49% Deal (R)
38% Barnes (D)
9% Monds (L)
4% Undecided

Georgia voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator from Georgia were today, who would you vote for? Republican Johnny Isakson? Democrat Mike Thurmond? Or Libertarian Chuck Donovan?

56% Isakson (R)
34% Thurmond (D)
6% Donovan (L)
4% Undecided

Georgia will also elect a Lieutenant Governor. If the election for Lieutenant Governor were today, who would you vote for? Republican Casey Cagle? Democrat Carol Porter? Or Libertarian Dan Barber?

52% Cagle (R)
33% Porter (D)
8% Barber (L)
7% Undecided

Georgia will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? Republican Sam Olens? Democrat Ken Hodges? Or Libertarian Don Smart?

48% Olens (R)
36% Hodges (D)
7% Smart (L)
9% Undecided

Georgia will also elect a State School Superintendent. If the election for School Superintendent were today, who would you vote for? Republican John Barge? Democrat Joe Martin?

48% Barge (R)
35% Martin (D)
8% Willis (L)
9% Undecided

Here are the poll particulars:

For the survery, SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 adults in Georgia from September 10 through 12. Of those, 869 were registered to vote – and of the registered voters, 599 were likely to vote in the November general election.


  1. Velasco says:

    Really surprised to Monds and Barber doing so well.

    Maybe Thurmond and Porter can get jobs at Barnes Law Group after they all get swept.

  2. rbj71 says:

    To all my fellow Democrats who kept bragging about a Barnes/Thurmond dream ticket:

    Looks great. A retread for Governor and a guy with no credibility and less support for Senate. At least I’ve gotten a trip down memory lane with Roy’s comically bad advertising again filling my television screen.

    So who are we going to put up in 2018 after Deal gets done with his second term?

  3. Max Power says:

    After eight disastrous years of republican rule, if Georgians vote for the GOP they deserve what they get. To paraphrase Eric Cartman: “Screw you guys I’m going to North Carolina.”

    • BoogDoc7 says:

      Ummm…disastrous? Honestly, it’s not all that bad here in Middle GA – where the worst spot (Macon) has been predominantly Dem-controlled since time immemorial…

    • TPNoGa says:

      I am not sure I would say disastrous. Disappointing? You betcha. Difficult? Absolutely. Frustrating? More than I can describe. Disastrous? No way.

      California, New York, Illinois…..those are disastrous, not Georgia…..yet.

      • Max Power says:

        By almost any standard the state was in better shape under Barnes and company than it is today. A lot of that has to do with the broader problems of the national economy but a lot also has to do with just irresponsible policies but forth by the GOP.

        • Since most of our problems are caused by an over-reaching, economically illiterate Democrat Congress (44 months) and President (20 months), then don’t you mean:

          By almost any standard the state was in better shape under G.W. Bush and company than it is today.

          • seenbetrdayz, Ph.D. says:

            Max has a point. If Republicans roll out the red carpet of big government, there’s not much sense in getting angry at Democrats for walking on it. —But that’s a circular argument if there ever was one. It would be one thing if one party would undo what the other party has done, but they seem more interested in outdoing what the other party did while in power. The result is accelerated destruction.

            The thing that worries me most about a GOP ‘sweep’ is that (R)epublicans will go back to sleep and forget that (congress)men are fallible beings who must be corrected from time to time (okay, a lot).

            • If the GOP has not learned by now that being Democrat-Lite with taxing and spending is a failing and stupid proposition, then they deserve what they get. Let’s hope that they actually learned something from being kicked out 44 months ago.

        • And many of those irresponsible policies were seeded during earlier administrations and have manifested today….come on, not that we don’t have a current mess but let’s deepen the depth of our analysis…it could only help!

  4. GaConservative23 says:

    Surprisingly strong numbers for John Barge.

    He’s a relative unknown and Joe Martin’s run for this office three times.

    • NorthGeorgiaGirl says:

      Why is that such a surprise? Barge can articulate the problems with our current system, and the voters have already rejected Martin twice…why give him a try the third time if you didn’t find something to like the first two times?

    • Dave Bearse says:

      He cooked his goose with me for his role in the lawsuit that the state was underfunding school districts that were taxing themselves millage rates in the mid-teens, when other districts are typically near 20 mils plus SPLOSTS.

  5. Andre says:

    The Democrats will battle back.

    I envision these polls tightening as the people of Georgia get to see Barnes & Deal face-off in the debates next month. Additionally, the Democratic Party is mobilizing voters with its field offices across the state. That, too, will be a game changer.

    In the words of the immortal Yogi Berra, “it ain’t over ’til it’s over,” and I ain’t heard no bell yet or a fat lady sing either.

  6. Setting aside the Governor’s race, the non-incumbent GOP candidates poll at 48 %. The Democrats (again setting aside the Governor’s race) poll between 33% and 36%.

    It appears the GOP has an average advantage of 12 – 15 points. Deal currently leads Barnes by 11 points mostly because at 38%, Barnes polls better than other Democrats. I imagine that’s mostly due to his higher name ID. Notice there are only 4% undecided in the Governor’s race (and the US Senate race) compared to 9% in the School Super. and AG races and 7% undecided in the Lt. Gov. race.

    It’s also interesting that Barnes sits at 38% after about a month of hard hitting negative ads. They don’t seem to be helping him.

  7. David says:

    I thought Barnes would be doing better, too. If Deal pulls this off no one will be more surprised than Deal himself.

  8. Jane says:

    I would like the GOP State party to poll the 4th, 5th,and 13th districts. Now, I am not saying the GOP will pick up any Atlanta Area seats, but 40 to 45% showing should have significant implications.

    • Insider Mike says:

      Waste of money, Jane. Numbers aren’t even close to 40 percent in the 4th or 5th. And I’d guess the 13th would be around 35 percent.

      Polls are expensive. Every cent spent on those three districts would be better spent elsewhere.

      • Jane says:

        You might be right, but the GOP has a better chance closing the gap than the Dem’s have in defeating Westmoreland or Kingston. The party needs to concentrate on Dem held seats than protecting incumbents who barring a scandal will not lose.

  9. rightofcenter says:

    It must be a bogus poll. I mean, you’ve been telling us for the last month what a rotten crook Deal is (nicely dovetailing with the Barnes commercials) – surely it must be having a deleterious effect.

    • ROC, but yet you still see people here on PP saying they will vote for Deal who acknowledge that they don’t like him at all. They openly admit that they’re voting for him because he has an R beside his name.

      • seenbetrdayz, Ph.D. says:

        Once you create the demons necessary to distract folks from the fact that your party’s candidate is awful, you can get voters to do just about anything.

        . . . unfortunately.

  10. ZazaPachulia says:

    Somebody help Carol get her campaign some positive press… I haven’t heard much on PP regarding that race… Methinks the Robespierre of Macon and some of the other front-pagers are locked in a debate as to how harsh they’re going to be with regards to Casey Cagle.

    Surely Handel Pundit is not going to sit idly by as two crooks from Hall County build momentum… Or is it?

  11. Bill30097 says:

    Yes the GOP is responsible for p***ing away money on stupid boondoggles like the I85/316 Taj Mahal Interchange and the Gwinnett baseboring stadium. But at least those cater to working people rather than the Democrud looters who steal from the producers to give to the oochers. I will vote stright Libertarian on the first round and GOP the 2nd as the much lesser of 2 evils.

  12. John Konop says:

    I know both sides will attack me but I am confused about the GOP surge.

    Unless I am missing something:

    1) Obama-care is really just Romney-care both not dealing with cost containment
    2) We are still in Afghanistan so help me understand how this is different than Bush? How do we afford NATION BUILDING?
    3) We basically have the same economic team with Obama doing about the same thing Bush did.
    4) Both sides refuse to deal with out of control entitlement spending
    5) Both sides cannot explain how they pay for anything

    I am not happy but please help me understand the difference other than social issues?

    • Steve says:

      Actually, the right has done a rather remarkable job of putting social issues (other than the anti-Islam thing) on the backburner lately.

      As far as I can tell, this is pure outright “The Guy Has a ‘D’ Beside His Name” stuff. The rest is just free-floating anger, looking for something to latch onto so as to justify itself. Weird times.

        • John Konop says:

          I think we could see another dip. But I do think the start of the second quarter of 11 is when we will see things slowly turn around with employment numbers. With that sad I do not see it getting better than 8% for a long while. The other issue is when will inflation hit?

    • Three Jack says:

      john, the ‘gop surge’ happening in other states (delaware, nj, md, ny, ak, ky, etc.) is led by non-politicos knocking off lifelong bureaucrats. unfortunately in ga, we are faced with the same old choices like deal and isakson because the gop here is much more influential than in the aforementioned states.

      if the primary winners in these other states succeed in winning their respective general elections, i think you will start to see a real difference between the dying breed of spendaholics in charge now.

      • drjay says:

        but with a couple of exceptions, they won’t win–the gop in nevada managed to nominate the one woman in the entire state that reid has a chance to defeat, and the woman in delaware–wow, just wow–i get not being enthralled with castle, but that lady is bat guano crazy…it may work out for the best in the long run but the gop is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in several instances with this “purge”

  13. kolt473 says: -KING ROY alleging DEAL corrupt? Look at yourself. Ads all over the net, real interesting on MONDS, just going to waste a vote because of the negative. KING ROY still corrupt, his ”ethics” phony, wouldn’t surprise me if SEIU running interference for king roy. Also serpent head Carville. ISAKSON safe BABA LOUEY CLINTON’S endorsement carries no weight, he and HILDABEAST wrote GA off long time ago. I’D like to see MOND’S be KASIM REED come out of nowhere beat KING ROY&DEAL it’s 2010 not 1968, KING ROY still stuck in the past wouldn’t surprise me if the real numbers suppressed, liberals doing polling cook numbers, ask lurch from 2004. GA cant afford neither BARNES OR DEAL.

  14. RuralDem says:

    Considering most people on here have mentioned in the past that voters do not really pay attention until after Labor Day, are we really supposed to believe that only 4% of the voters are undecided?

    I mean, sure the numbers are good for the GOP, but skimming through the crosstabs, some things stick out.

    As mentioned early in the thread, the high number for Monds between 18-34 year olds. Also, the high percentage of voters breaking toward the GOP is kind of surprising to me.

    Which, if it benefits the GOP, Buzz will surely post it. If this has negatively impacted the GOP, I’m sure Buzz would have pointed out some glaring problems with the numbers (not).

    Still planning to explain why Deal is a better choice than Barnes, other than the letter beside his name? If Deal was still a Democrat, would you support him? Sadly, I think we all know the answer. I guess party loyalty means more than getting results.

  15. bowersville says:

    Just a friendly reminder.

    Just prior to the July 20th primary SurveyUSA conducted a poll of likely voters on 7/7/10 – 7/8/10 with the following results:


    We all know how that turned out.

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