And After All This, IA Says We’re All Tied Up

Bumped up top by Erick so the Deal folks don’t think I’m trying to bury the lede. Interestingly, I know few in the metro area who think Deal will win and know virtually no one outside Atlanta who think Handel will win.

With just a little over three days left in this years long saga, IA has a new poll that says Handel and Deal are tied:

InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV Poll

Nathan Deal: 46 percent

Karen Handel: 46 percent

Undecided: 8 percent

Margin of Error +/- 4.0 percent

Source: InsiderAdvantage

Discuss

61 comments

  1. griftdrift says:

    That undecided seems mighty low. Even this close to the election.

    And the margin of error seems a little high.

    Did they say how big the pool was?

  2. Bill30097 says:

    After seeing endorsements from such as The Huckster and Nancy Pelosi’s couch buddy. I wonder if the last one to get a RINO endorsement loses!

    • I Am Jacks Post says:

      Perhaps you’re just not used to candidates getting endorsements from those older than 16. And your guy gave an entirely new meaning to “robocall.”

  3. In The Arena says:

    Wow this is really coming down to the wire. 3 factors that deserve mention:

    -Deal has gained 8 points on Handel this week
    -this IA poll doesn’t factor in Huckabee
    -my superior blogging will add another point ot two to Deal’s total

    • Romegaguy says:

      This poll was done by IA so it is meaningless

      Remember this line from about 5-6 weeks ago? “Oxendine is surging and could win the primary without a runoff”

      • bowersville says:

        Not only about Ox surging but wasn’t IA carrying Reed ahead against Cagle by as much as 16%?

        Look at the stepped up heavy hitting going on by Deal too, both positive and negative.

        Something’s not quite right about the IA poll.

  4. B Balz says:

    Almost all that can be done, has been done. The Palin endorsement may create enough of a buzz to toss this race to Ms. Handel. To me, that is surreal.

    A fellow advocate, female, indicated her candidate preference, based not on gender, but her desire to see ‘sweeping changes’ under the Dome, toward Ms. Handel. Another lady, nearsighted and patient beyond words, indicated to me that other than some of my comments, she did not feel the Rep. Deal did a very good job communicating the good things he did in WDC to her.

    To those who chose to cross the line and use their emotions instead or intellect, WHATEVER. We will face a larger concern in November. Please try to keep it close to civil.

    Zig, it seems your prediction that Sen. Johnson would not endorse anyone is correct, we are about out of time on that. Still….

    To All: Try not to pish off the GOP squishy middle and toss the whole enchilada to Roy, huh? As it stands, I am embarrassed, deeply embarrassed, at the direction the GOP is heading.

  5. Briardawg says:

    After 18 years of voting I have never felt so disheartened, dispirited, and dissatisfied with the choices presented; I regret that I even made a selection.

    I can almost hear ole Roy laughing with delight out there in Mableton.

      • Provocateur says:

        I believe these IA numbers have been faked. A 9-point tighten-up to dead-even in a few days??? No way. Not that fast.

        • bowersville says:

          I read in the AJC that Deal sent mailers to select groups comparing his education to Handel’s education.

          As we say around here, he’s thrown everything against her but the kitchen sink. In other words, there’s nothing left to say negative against Handel.

          With that in mind, why play every card you have in the deck if the hand you are playing is winning.

          IA’s poll can’t be right.

  6. DemBones says:

    I want to see the cross tabs where they show what percentage of each candidate’s supporters feel that gay marriage and support for an organization that provides support for gay young people is the most pressing problem facing Georgia today. I am almost certain that a discussion of jobs, taxes, law enforcement, or education might be of concern to some of them. The issue doesn’t even help to distinguish between them since it has come down to who can beat up on that community the most. The last straw indeed.

  7. TalmadgeGhost says:

    …and somewhere in Georgia, Ray McBerry is still attempting to poll into the teens….

  8. Bens says:

    IA, 7/19/10:

    Huge Poll Taken Sunday Night Shows Handel Continues To Surge

    (7/19/20) Karen Handel continues to surge in the Republican race for governor, according to the latest InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV poll conducted Sunday night in our largest ever one-night sample. John Oxendine, Nathan Deal and Eric Johnson continue to battle for the second berth in the runoff.

    The survey was conducted among 1,619 registered voters who said they either have or are likely to vote in the Republican primary. It was weighted for age, race and gender, and has a margin of error of 2.3 percentage points.

    The results:

    Handel, 28%
    Deal, 17%
    Johnson, 14%
    Oxendine, 13%
    Chapman, 6%
    McBerry, 3%
    Putnam, 0%
    Undecided, 19%

    Actual:

    Karen Handel 34.1%
    Nathan Deal 22.9%
    Eric Johnson 20.1%
    John Oxendine 17.0%
    Jeff Chapman 3.0%
    Ray McBerry 2.5%
    Otis Putnam 0.4%

    • I Am Jacks Post says:

      On the actual vote, the major candidates each jumped about 5 points, as the undecideds decided.

      • Dave Bearse says:

        The top three, Handel, Deal and Johnson increased by six points, and Ox four. The six points were relatively different across the campaigns, translating to increases of slightly over one-fifth, one-third, and two-fifths respectively. With Johnson seemingly leaning toward Deal, the results perhaps reflect momentum for Deal.

  9. zigmaster says:

    Rally with Gov. Mike Huckabee
    Loacation: Gainesville Civic Center
    Address: 830 Green Street, Gainesville, Ga.
    Date: 08/08/10
    Time: 1:00 pm- 2:30 pm

    Gov. Mike Huckabee is coming to Gainesville to campaign for his friend, Nathan Deal. Come early, no admission.

    • The Iron Horse says:

      I recall the GOP strategists in 2008 saying Huck was appealling to voters because he “speaks American, not Washingtonian.” Maybe Huck is really coming to Georgia to teach Deal how to speak “American” again after all those years in DC.

        • The Iron Horse says:

          As a co-sponsor of the “English Language Unity Act of 2009”, maybe Nathan can teach Palin. From what I can tell, it looks like this “Washingtonian” language Deal learned before resigning from his near 20 year stint in DC would not actually have been in violation of the Unity Act!

  10. GaConservative23 says:

    Wow, Nathan has made up some ground.

    I guess this explains the barrage of attack mail pieces I’ve been hit with all week.

  11. Progressive Dem says:

    With an 11 point lead in the Primary,
    With wins in areas well outside metro Atl,
    With mostly second place finishes in counties she didn’t carry,
    With a Palin endorsement,
    With an opponent who fled an ethics inquiry,
    With an opponent from Congress!

    Regardless of the outcome, Handel took all those advantages, and blew it. Stunning.

  12. saltycracker says:

    You will be able to distinguish the rational Republicans at the polls –
    they will be the ambidextrous ones – pressing the screen with one hand and holding their nose with the other……

    My elected (R) have cleverly hedged their bets via split decisions.
    It’s a win-win.

  13. chefdavid says:

    So do you think the last straw video coupled with the she hasn’t held a job mailer is going to give Handel the wounded dog appeal? This with an added endoursement of Palin diehards voting for her. And lastly would it be funny to see teh gayz movement put her over the top in an anti-hater vote against Deal. Do you think the Barnes not being seen with Obama was more about not making the November crossover voters mad than it was about him against the Obama? It might be suprizing how many votes the third party gets in Nov.

  14. Tied up, huh? Actually, I too am having a tough time figuring out which is the ‘lesser evil’ for GA myself. One continues to empower the good ol’ boy mafia and the other will lead to more ‘natural monopolies’ like Diebold… and they both, just like Barnes, really hate “them Gays” and “them brown people.” You GOPers truly do have a tough decision on your hands.

  15. NonPartisanGA says:

    Diebold sold the Voting Systems years ago to Premier Election Systems, who sold them to ES&S and then DOJ made ES&S sign a divestiture agreement to allow competitive serviceing of the units. The Diebold card is false and by the way Democrat Secretary of Stae Cox engaged Diebold. Hadel put in regulations preventing staff from subsequently going to work for vendors….just the facts

    • Here we go again. I’m afraid your observations are missing the bigger historical & political picture…

      Lewis Massey, Max Cleland, and heck!–even Ben Fortson–presided as secretaries of state while most Georgia counties used the old mechanical lever machines that operated on gears & switches and produced no “paper trail.” Cathy Cox pushed for an electronic system which was overwhelmingly approved by by both Democrats and Republicans in the General Assembly because it offered more safeguards, checks, & redundancies than the old levers & paper ballot box stuffing of Georgia’s old days.

      Then Handel ran for SOS on a platform of instituting a paper trail in order to win votes from independents and the conspiracy theorist Left.

      Then Handel stabbed her voters in the back by doing a 180 shortly after being sworn in and voted on the State Election Board (whereas Cathy Cox only voted in cases of ties) to stop any paper receipt efforts.

      None of this has anything to do with Diebold. It’s about Handel using voters like toilet paper. She got what she needed, then flushed them.

  16. Skyler Akins says:

    Can you imagine being a young child, on the verge of suicide, being tossed out by your parents, bullied at school, and then seeing every other ad on TV making you feel like even less of a person, all while seeing the person running these ads getting ahead?
    The “Last Straw” ad by Deal is hurtful, shameful, and crosses the line. I called the Deal campaign, and pose the same question to his supporters, How can you lay your head down at night knowing you’re intentionally hurting people, and fueling the hatred in people? Since when is hate a family value?

  17. Skyler Akins says:

    I am speaking the truth. I don’t expect you to understand the difficulties of being gay, growing up in rural Georgia, or how difficult it is for a child who’s conservative Deal-loving parents suspect he is gay, and then throw him/her on the streets, so that they have to go run to YouthPride for help.

    • Doug Grammer says:

      OK I get it now, you are gay. Now let’s talk about the issue that was brought up.

      http://www.youthpride.org/about_us

      “Who We Are and What We Do
      YouthPride is the only organization in metropolitan Atlanta serving all LGBTQ youth.

      Uniquely among LGBTQ organizations as well as youth organizations, YouthPride serves teenagers (13-17) and young adults (18-24) regardless of status: gender identity and expression, HIV infection.”

      YouthPride, Inc. is a 501(c)3 non-profit organization

      It seems that youth pride does indeed serve teenagers as young as 13 in homosexual matters. It is a 501-c3. I support the United Way and a few other 501-c 3 groups. I don’t think that they should be supported by tax dollars and neither should Youthpride. It doesn’t mean that we are not compassionate about people that have to use 501-C 3’s, but it should not the roll of the government to fund those organizations.

  18. REDCLAY says:

    Here we go…. Deal will win by 9 pts called it last week and am sticking with it….Handel’s camp made another tactical error having her Palin rally at Intercontinental …. that will brand her as a Buckhead (wanna be babe so bad) outta touch and outta here come Tuesday night…..

  19. NoTeabagging says:

    Did any candidate’s ‘Big Boy Pants’ end up between the legs of a drunk driver this weekend?? No? too bad.

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