Magellan Strategies, the first polling firm to show Karen Handel with a lead, is out with their final survey before tomorrow’s primary (the only poll that matters).
- Handel: 38%
- Deal: 20%
- Johnson: 17%
- Oxendine: 12%
- Other: 6%
- Undecided: 7%
Fresh Political Pickins From The Peach State
Magellan Strategies, the first polling firm to show Karen Handel with a lead, is out with their final survey before tomorrow’s primary (the only poll that matters).
{ 64 comments }
If Handel is over 35% she’ll be tought to beat in 20 days. Eric Johnson would have a better chance than Deal. Time for the Oxendine, Chapman, and McBerry supporters to roll into Johnson!
McBerry would only support Johnson if he were a teenage girl.
It’s really not funny anymore. Especially since it was such a stretch to get there from what zig actually said.
I laughed…
Time for Mr. Mc Berry to graciously drop out.
Another joke? He should have done that long ago, and we all know he is bull headed, and isn’t going anywhere.
But if he dropped out he wouldn’t be getting that paycheck he’s getting from Oxendine to stay in the race so Handel doesn’t appear on stage for debates.
+ 1 and an empty podium
“tough”
Thank goodness oxenswine is hopefully dead. Congrats to Karen on clearly making it into the runoff, now this sock puppet just has to hope that the right man makes it into 2nd place.
Handel in the lead? Pearls before oxenswine?
Handel/Deall. I think this poll has inflated her lead too much the last couple of times.
Any poll that has Handel at nearly 40% disqualifies itself.
Damn. This means at least another month of HandelPundit.
Or four months!
Don’t count on it lasting any longer than that…
I won’t need to when Karen wins in November.
YEAH!!!
I still think OX will slip in via early voting and the poll over estimating the OX slid. If he does not this would be a historic collapse.
I will give Icarus credit he predicted early and often that OX would slid hard. And I always thought it would be a Karen vs. OX run-off.
Ox’s high numbers were always very soft and based primarily on name recognition, which I doubt translated to real votes as often as the other candidates. He probably won’t be as low as these polls predict, but I doubt it’ll be much higher
John,
I would still like to see a Handel/Ox because then Karen will surely win!
I was wondering about the effect of early voting — a lot of votes were cast before the Oxendine disaster had a chance to sink in. Also, the congressional race in the 9th isn’t creating the interest some thought it would early on. I wonder if that will affect voter turnout in Deal’s base? And will that matter?
Just wondering.
It seems to be low voter turn out all over the state. In early voting, the Ninth had the most votes by congressional district.
Wonder who Ray Boyd will support when Chapman loses tomorrow?
Oxendine–dropping like a rock! Whew!
Go Johnson!
it scares me to think that Sarah Palin has had this much impact on our election
+1
+ another 1
Handel’s bounce/surge/whatever is a direct result of Palin’s endorsement. Handel can’t “refudiate” that.
I don’t see any candidate in the GOP primary for Gov. breaking 30%
That would make for a very exciting election night. Maybe we would not know who was in the run-off until Wednesday.
Oh, no . . .
Just got an automated call from Georgia Right to Life warning against voting for Karen Handel. Kudos, GRTL. It’s one thing to have a mushy lifer in a lesser office like SOS, but when it comes to governor, we need a pro-life leader.
There are more pressing issues than that.
True. Like honesty.
Maybe to you Tony. There are more important issues to me. But who are you to tell someone where their important issues should lie?
GRTL is as crooked as they come. Dan Becker is just freaking out that the one candidate he didn’t endorse is probably going to make it so now he’s pulling out all the stops to not get her elected. Karen is Pro-Life, she just refused to sign that paper because of the conditions she believes & I agree (when mothers life is in danger, or in case of rape). Seriously imagine your 13 yeard old daughter gets raped (heaven forbid) I don’t think any of us know how we would react but one thing is for sure legislation shouldn’t stand in the way; the family should be able to determine what is best. Some families have a strong support system and the girl would be fine to have the baby and put it up for adoption. Others not so much or may not mentally & emotionally be able to handle it. A study shows 6% of raped women attempt suicide. I’m not even saying I would abord if I were raped but I’m saying it should not be legislation but left to the family to work out what is best for the person.
GRTL lost all credibility with me many years ago. Just so happens that I am not voting for Karen Handel (not that I might not later)but I could care less who GRTL endorses.
Athens,
While I wish you were voting for Karen in the Primary, I respect your wishes. I agree with your post though, GRTL has no power to influence me.
Does anyone thing that if Karen Handel gets in a runoff that Deal’s, Johnson’s, Ox’s, or even McBerry’s supporters will go to her? She has really shot herself in the foot for a runoff election.
Not many will. Unless she is in it against the OX. Then some more will go to her, although I doubt the losers will support Karen strongly.
So what you’re saying is they’ll take their ball and go home. That same lack of big picture perspective which propelled Obama to the White House will guarantee King Roy will return to the West Paces Mansion.
No. I’m not saying that I would do that or others would. I’m saying she has upset some people in all of this. I was giving my thoughts on the question from AE. I think you are referring to the general. In the general whether the nominee be Deal, Handel, or Johnson, I would support the nominee, and hope that everyone else would. As a party, petty things can’t let us lose an election to King Roy, especially with redistricting coming.
How? She hasn’t run bad ads… her’s are true. Eric Johnson even asked her to pull her ad and her response was, “if you can tell me one false in the ad then yes I will.” Eric was give the chance to rebutle and he didn’t. She hasn’t made nasty phone calls, she hasn’t sent bad mailers, and she doesn’t have websites dedicated to destroy her opponents. Are you sure Karen is the one that shot herself in the foot? Ox & Deal have killed themselves. Both Ox & Deal were stupid to go after Karen strategically they should have gone after one another since the #’s kept growing in Karens favor.
No I don’t think they will. Also runoffs are such a touchy subject. Traditionally not many voters turn out for the runoff and a lot of voters prefer one candidate and if that candidate is not on the ballot, they stay at home.
It will be interesting to see what happens and if any supporters for the candidates that miss out come out in large numbers to vote against one of the remaining two.
All these polls were done before Nathan’s statewide tour today btw.
Well that changes everything….
Tommorow night will be very quiet on PP. Most of the posters on here will be at Handel’s election event.
I hope so, I will be at Karen’s victory party.
I’ll probably be at Nathan’s victory party. Although an hour drive might stretch it since all will be so close. We will not know much until 10 or 11.
Mcberry’s victory party is @ 3pm, right after camp lets out
LT, “Celebrating” Karen Handel’s victory!
See you there………….
Ox takes 30+ …Count on it.
Magellan has lost his way around 285. This ends in an Ox-Handel runoff.
This is where my money is also.
I voted for Johnson but I don’t expect he’ll make it into a runoff.
I’m expecting to vote for Karen twice before we have a new Gubner, and then I’m expecting her to be it.
You are a good person.
I thought Magellan got killed in the Philippines…
to all my former fb friends who de-friended me for supporting karen handel (and you know who you are), how’s it feel to see your boy ox fading just as i said he would when the truth came out? the really cool thing about this election is that we will never ever have to deal with ox as a political candidate again…thanks for playing johnny boy.
And we have not seen the end of The Ox in the news.
So true Three Jack.
Anybody else a little disappointed with how few people were in line this morning? I got there at 6:53am expecting to be in a long line but I was only the fifth person there. I’m pretty sure I haven’t missed a vote in 15 years and this was unprecedented in my experience over at the Walnut Grove precinct.
Magellan sailed off the end of the earth….
Magellan is what my wife calls me when I don’t stop to ask directions….
They got the order right, but were just a tad outside of the margin of error. They almost covered themselves with 7% undecided.
Karen Handel 231,867 34.1%
Nathan Deal 155,892 22.9%
Eric Johnson 136,748 20.1%
John W. Oxendine 115,365 17.0%
Jeff Chapman 20,622 3.0%
Ray McBerry 17,169 2.5%
Otis Putnam 2,545 0.4%
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