64 comments

  1. Lifetime367 says:

    Is this a typo? You say Johnson is at 23% but the article says 13%. I’d love to see Eric Johnson in the runoff, but I’m skeptical at the big swing. Again,… is this a typo?

  2. jppaa says:

    I just find it hard to believe we’re still at 13% undecided. I’m willing to bet we’re still in the 20’s

  3. Lifetime367 says:

    So,… Jason put up wrong numbers, politely gets called on it, then, instead of admitting his mistake, claims in a comment that his original post was correct, then his comment is taken down. This is a circus.

  4. OriginalGangsta says:

    Handel seems to be surging at the perfect time. Now that voters are actually interested in the election they are taking some time to actually consider the candidates. Seems the conclusion they’re coming to is the Ox is a crook with a creepy voice. I think Deal is going to sneak into this runoff w/ Karen and Ox’s campaign will be left dumbfounded as to how the almighty failed

    • GOPwits says:

      Ox made a horrible strategic decision by not going after Deal and instead went after Handel. He will regret that decision all the rest of his days in… prison.

        • EllaPatriot says:

          I agree, Jason. However, what about in the Insurance Commissioner’s race? Maria claims she will run the Insurance Commissioner’s office “differently” from the way Ox did. Then you research further and find out that Maria worked on the Ox campaign, worked under Ox as attorney and then you delve even deeper and find they have financial contributors in common — $70K in common contributors. She even donated $3,000 in to Ox’s campaign — does that show solidarity or the guts and backbone to do things differently? Here is the proof: http://tinyurl.com/3ayv3tl

  5. GOPwits says:

    If I were Johnson, I’d be trying to end this on a high note and leave Georgians with a positive impression from your campaign… He’s largely done that to an extent – throughout the race.

    His downfall was that he had a very poorly designed media campaign that came off as old, stale, and just boring. He wasn’t talking about any new ideas, or bold vision for Georgia. He was just out there saying, “pick me because I’m an architect and I like to build things”. As the numbers show, that’s not what Georgia was looking for.

    Georgia Republicans were looking to shake up the status quo and really get down to brass tacks in being a conservative state and retake the mantle from North Carolina on being the leading state in the south.

    Karen Handel will do that. She’s put forward plans to reduce the size of government and make it more efficient. When you do that, you can have lower taxes because your overhead isn’t so high. She will bring efficiencies to government that will allow for better service at a reduced cost. She will also make sure that education and public safety are two of our top priorities. Karen understands that with a strong education system, comes a prosperous environment for job growth.

    What really stands out though, more than anything, to me, is that Karen isn’t tainted by the scandals of the past year or so that have wrapped up some Members of the Legislature. A lot of the political class likes to down play those scandals because it threatens their very livelihood, and thus they try and keep the truth away from the voters, but Karen isn’t afraid to blow the roof off of the culture of corruption that has too often permeated at the Gold Dome.

    That’s enough from me, now back to your regularly scheduled ranting…

  6. The first campaign I worked on was Bob Barr for Congress in 1994. We were running against Buddy Darden, a 12 year incumbent that had gotten too cozy with a very unpopular Bill Clinton (actually, one of the most used photos in our literature, t-shirts, etc. was a photo of Buddy and Clinton jogging together).

    The Sunday night before the election, Mason Dixon put out a poll that showed Darden up 18% over Barr. I was crushed. While we kept working hard the next two days, everyone’s spirits were a little down.

    We ended up winning by 2%! A close race, but the poll was off 20 points. Mason Dixon may have improved over the years, but that is one pollster, maybe along with IA, that I would never, ever trust for the rest of my life.

    • macho says:

      It’s a good point. People forget that what makes polling difficult isn’t really the “flakyness” of the various demographics you’re calling, it’s determining what percentages of likely voters, from each demographic, to call.

      • macho says:

        To expound on my point a bit. Barr got elected during the GOP surge of 1994. Pollsters across the country got this wrong, I think, simply because they underweighted the percentages of likely GOP turnout.

        It’s hard to guess ahead of time. Will the same percentage of angry white males vote in this election as the last, will the same percentage of blacks, senior citizens, housewives, etc… Or will a particular demographic be more fired up or less fired up about voting?

    • polisavvy says:

      I believe in “it ain’t over ’til it’s over!” Anything can still happen. There is absolutely no telling who will end up in the runoff. I wouldn’t bet the farm, that’s for sure. 😉

  7. I wonder how much of this is backlash against the Ox’s ethical scandals and recent attack ads… and how much is the Sarah Palin Effect? I want to believe that it’s the former, but I’m terrified to think that it’s the latter.

  8. Lady Thinker says:

    Of course Karen is in the lead because Ox and Deal have turned off so many people with their tactics.

  9. I am elated that election day is Tuesday. Although we will have 3 more weeks of self mutilation. This is getting old. I certainly hope we are able to unite in November. There’s an awful lot of bad blood out there. Although, I doubt we’ll have a problem retaining our base, but in politics anything can happen.

    • B Balz says:

      Ha ha ha Ho ho ho.

      Nice. Considering the source, like trying to get sweetness from the pepper jar.

      Ha ha ha, I am still laughing.

  10. Dickson says:

    interesting yesterday, received two mailers slamming Karen on each issue, pro abort and the gay issue – no i.d. as to origin – thought that was required – too bad those trailing Karen have to slam one group of people the way they are — was the mailing from one candidate or a conglomerate?

  11. Lifetime367 says:

    I predict Handel 26, Johnson 24, Deal 23, Ox 22, Chapman 3, McBerry 2, Putnam 0 – I realize that I’m being optimistic, but I do think that it’s trending this way.

    • AthensRepublican says:

      It would make for an exciting election night as the leads could switch several times in the vote count if your prediction is correct.

  12. zigmaster says:

    Handel, Deal, and Johnson gain. Ox and Undecided lost ground. I think Karen’s over/under for winning a run-off is 37% on Tuesday. Any thoughts on that?

    • zigmaster says:

      I think most of Georgia has seen that by now. Oxendine’s mail pieces coupled with Ox’s and Deal’s ads have pretty much penetrated most of Georgia. I’m sure that around 25-30 perecent of the Republican base in GA could care less. The only question is whether or not Karen can hit 51%. It probably happens if her opponent is OX but not if it’s Deal/Johnson. Karen needs every bit of 35% on election night to have any chance at a run-off.

    • Lady Thinker says:

      It is this mailing along with Oxendine’s mailer of the same ilk that pushed people toward Karen’s court. Also Deal said “Real women are voting for him” which is okay because us “unreal” women will for Karen instead of them.

      • AthensRepublican says:

        It is the exact same garbage. Not a thing about jobs and the economy. Except this is put out by the Deal campaign rather than the Oxendine campaign.

        • Lady Thinker says:

          I know. I was expecting the candidates to attack each other’s plans for Georgia, not who talked to gays or whatever. I was sorely disappointed in the Ox/Deal trash ads.

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