Comments on: Barnes is in (and I’m undecided)

By: ugadog

ugadog — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 13:57:51 +0000

You would be.

By: griftdrift

griftdrift — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 13:51:07 +0000

He actually wants a chance at winning.

By: UGALiberal

UGALiberal — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 13:41:55 +0000

Anyone really surprised?

I kinda hoped he would run for Senate.

By: Romegaguy

Romegaguy — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 12:36:33 +0000

or nobody has met his minimum bid yet

By: drjay

drjay — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 12:35:22 +0000

maybe he’s being paid to be undecided…

By: Romegaguy

Romegaguy — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 12:30:45 +0000

Andre’s vote is for sale

By: macho

macho — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 12:09:03 +0000

It will be interesting to see if Thrubert can take the black vote. Vernon was unable to capture it, but he was a major doofus. Thurbert is a sharp guy, yes there is Genarlow, but Thurbert has a tough on crime image during a time when urban primary voters are getting fed up with crime.

I think it’s stupid to do any polls at this point as Barnes is a former Governor and will obviously have the most name ID. Once the primaries move forward, and Thurbert has the opportunity to point out that Barnes’ record doesn’t reflect the populist, “looking out for the little guy” image that he’s currently been projecting, the race will tighten. Some of Barnes’s image change will depend on whether the media will be willing accomplices in his transformation or will point out some of the inconsistentcies.

Thurbert will be formidable.

By: Ronald Daniels

Ronald Daniels — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 11:04:14 +0000

Looks like I won’t have to eat my hat after all.

By: Jeff

Jeff — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 09:22:20 +0000

This should make things interesting, but ultimately I’m thinking Baker may well be the DPG nominee due to the crowded GAGOP field. (And yes, I mentioned this in my ‘Requisite Roy Barnes Speculation Post’ on SWGAPolitics.com)

The basic idea being this:

GAGOP trends lily-white. A crowded field for them gives more whites who would otherwise vote in the DPG primary a reason to vote in the GAGOP primary instead.

This increases the weight of minorities in the DPG primary, particularly African Americans, from the normal ~50% to higher – say around 60%, maybe even up to 75%.

We say in 2008 that upwards of 80% of the AA vote will go to the AA candidate, if one exists.

Next July, there DOES exist an AA candidate in the DPG primary – Thurbert Baker.

What will kill Baker with AAs is the whole Wilson debacle, but even that may not hurt him enough for Barnes to overcome the institutional racism.

By: Hochimama

Hochimama — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 09:21:37 +0000

My shattered nerves, this is going to be fun. Two big time primaries ( if the other Democrats stay in ) and an old fashion horse race of a general election. Can Michael Thurmond for LG be far behind???