. . .And the Democratic Party of Georgia has a white voter problem. Unfortunately for the Dems though, there are more white voters in Georgia than there are black voters.
Savannah Morning News political reporter Larry Peterson states the obvious in a Sunday column; that Georgia Democrats will have difficulty winning statewide elections without “substantial support” from white voters.
Democrats, Peterson writes, receive near monolithic support from the state’s black voters, but draw support from less than 25% of white voters.
. . .Obama drew only 23 percent of the white vote.
Four years before, Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry – about as white as you can get – did just as poorly among whites.
Blacks overwhelmingly support Democrats but make up just more than one-quarter of Georgia’s voters. So Democrats need substantial support from whites to win statewide. And, in recent years, they haven’t had it.
Source: Savannah Morning News, “Ga. Democrats struggle for white votes”, December 21, 2008
Going back to the 2004 presidential preference primary, blacks have constituted an average of 47.5% of Democratic primary voters. Over the same period of time, blacks have represented an average of 1.9% in the GOP primary.
The GOP, however, can afford to defer their minority outreach program for the time being simply because of demographics.
As I frequently said throughout the 2008 presidential campaign, it doesn’t matter if every single black of voting age in America registers and votes for Obama; if he doesn’t get between thirty-five and forty-five percent of the white vote, he’s toast.
The same holds true for statewide races here in Georgia.
Even if every single black voter in this state casts their ballots for the Democratic nominee, the Democrats will still lose simply because ninety-eight percent of 29.9% cannot beat seventy-seven percent of 62.7%. Once again, Georgia Democrats need between thirty-five and forty-five percent of the white vote to win.
There can be no doubt that there is significant white flight from the Georgia Democratic Party. But an even more disturbing reality is that there is an exodus of conservatives from the state Democratic Party.
Again, Larry Peterson writes, “Stripped of most of its white conservatives, the party’s support base is not only smaller but also more liberal. So the best way to win a Democratic primary is to run to the left. But that’s not how you win general elections in most of Georgia.”
Skyler Akins, the V.P. of Membership for the Georgia Young Democrats, recently commented that to be a more competitive party, Democrats must recruit more conservative Democrats to run for office and for party leadership positions [Source: Peach Pundit, “To Paraphrase Al Gore, It Is Time For Kidd To Go”, December 5, 2008].
“In order for Democrats to regain power in this state, we have to realize that our citizens are conservative, not Republican,” Akins argued.
Now I’m sure that the more liberal members of the Democratic Party will vehemently disagree, but I ask you. . .
. . . When’s the last time a liberal won statewide in Georgia?