The Obama Surge is 20,000 people.

Yep, Georgia’s in play.

Handel said 303,000 people newly registered to vote between Dec. 1, 2007, and Aug. 31, 2008, compared to 283,000 who were new registrants over the same period prior to the 2004 presidential election. She called the number a “natural presidential surge,” but encouraged people to participate in early voting before Nov. 4.

27 comments

  1. Doug Deal says:

    Is it even a surge?

    20,000 / 283,000 ~ 10%

    From 2000 – 2007, Georgia’s population went up from 8,150,000 to 9,500,000. That’s a 16% growth in 7 years, or a little over 2% a year. That would suggest that scaling for size of the state would lead to an increase of 9% for 2004-2008.

    The unaccounted-for 1% is just as likely noise as anything else.

  2. slyram says:

    You guy make great points and what about the happenings down ballot. Have you read about Republican gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi in Washington State who wants to be listed on the ballot as “GOP Party” rather than “Republicans.”

    Can I say that “new voters” from Tifton to Macon to Covington might be voting Obama/Dem Party line without thinking that Jim Marshall never lifted a finger to help Obama or Hillary. Hell, the Obama policies that these “new voters” love is the opposite of Marshall and he needs explain his support for Bush policies that McCain and the New Republicans are against.

    Democrats sue to make Rossi call himself “Republican” instead of “GOP”
    By Andrew Garber
    Seattle Times Olympia bureau
    OLYMPIA — A hearing has been scheduled for Friday at 9 a.m. in King County Superior Court on a lawsuit filed Tuesday by the state Democratic Party which is attempting to force gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi to list his party preference on the November ballot as “Republican” instead of “GOP Party.”
    Democrats say the Iraq War and low approval ratings for President Bush have left the Republican Party a damaged brand and that Rossi is trying to distance himself by using GOP as his affiliation.

  3. RuralDem says:

    Here’s something from Bill Shipp:

    “The fresh Georgia political map is likely to startle. Just since 2004, Georgia’s registration rolls have grown by 577,000 new voters, a plurality of them black. Political observers believe an additional 300,000 new voters are yet to be processed and added to the rolls. Don’t frown, Bubba. It will be OK. Trust me. Whites still hold a commanding majority of the vote (64.5 percent). However, their numbers have diminished by nearly 6 percent in just four years”

    “A couple of examples: Suburban Cobb County, formerly the capital of Barry Goldwater Republicanism, has registered at least 28,000 blacks since 2004, and only 14,000 whites. Suburban Douglas County has registered 13,000 black voters and only 2,000 whites.”

    http://onlineathens.com/stories/092408/opi_336036116.shtml

    I’m not saying Obama will win the state, however, I think even blind partisans like Buzz realize Obama will have an impact in this state.

    I might not be a big Obama supporter, but even I can see the impact in my small county.

  4. Bill Simon says:

    ““A couple of examples: Suburban Cobb County, formerly the capital of Barry Goldwater Republicanism, has registered at least 28,000 blacks since 2004, and only 14,000 whites. Suburban Douglas County has registered 13,000 black voters and only 2,000 whites.””

    “BLACKS?” Bill Shipp is a RACISTTTTTTTTTTT!

    Right, Rugby?

    Show some damn consistency why don’t you…oh yeah…you cannot.

  5. kcordell says:

    “Bill Shipp is a RACISTTTTTTTTTTT”

    This reminds me of a segment on the Ga. Gang when the camera caught Martha Clinton Zoller jokingly asking Bill if he was a racist . He pointed his finger at her and said “don’t you ever call me a racist on TV again.” One of the ga. Gangs better moments.

  6. Doug Deal says:

    rugby,

    Show me where you ever agreed, you ran away like a coward from what I remember and changed he subject. I am not exactly wlling to trust someone who only remembers a bet when he thinks he is winning. You will likely have the same lack of memory when I come to collect.

    I am waiting for you to post the URL to where you accepted it.

  7. Progressive Dem says:

    Democrats will come back in power in Georgia when they present a coherent plan for improving education and transportation. Untill then this a GOP state.

  8. Doug Deal says:

    PD,

    The Dems could win big if they were not so extreme at running out pro-life people nationally. (If you want to go to higher office, you have no chance as a pro-life person on the Dem side). Likewise if the Republicans would stop obsessing over 100% pure pro-life candidates, they would have large majorities as well.

    The Democrats have actually started to wake up to the fact that abortion is a ridiculous thing to ceneter all your party’s hopes and dreams around, and the Republicans just seem to be digging their heels in deeper and deeper.

  9. Progressive Dem says:

    Democrats registrations surge in many swing states:

    New Hampshire: In 2004 GOP had a lead in registeration of 38,000 votes. In 2008 it is down to 4,900.

    New Mexico: Dems now have an edge of 202,000. Up slightly from 2008.

    Colorado: Dems have lead of 74,000. In 2004 GOP had an edge of 177,000 registered voters.

    NC: Dems registration up 132,000, GOP up 49,000. Dems have overall lead of 763,000 registered voters.

    Pennsylvania: Dems registration up 351,000 voters. GOP down 205,000 voters.

    Florida: Dems have registered 131,000 new voters, GOP up 392.

    Nevada: In 2004, GOP had more registered voters. Dems now have 76,000 more than GOP.

  10. Bill Simon says:

    Let’s put it this way: 1) You did it enough against me months ago for me to still be pissed-off enough at you to do it forever.

    2) I’ve seen you do it again to other people since then.

  11. debbie0040 says:

    I can tell you that there are many McCain supporters coming in the local GOP headquarters picking up voter registration forms for their college age kids or themselves registering to vote for the first time. Many registering to vote for the first time are in their 40’s and 50s.

    Let Obama think all those are his supporters…

  12. Bill Simon says:

    “off-color” …

    Let me ask you something Rugby. How do you feel about the politician who said the following:

    “Anybody toting guns and stripping moose don’t care too much about what they do with Jews and blacks”

    What is your analysis of THAT statement, and the “hidden thoughts” of the person who made the statement?

  13. rugby fan says:

    Sounds racist. As for hidden thoughts, how the hell would I know? They’re hidden.

    And since when has my exegesis of statements been deemed expert on anything?

  14. Bill Simon says:

    Rugby,

    When you take “off-color” comments and immediately presume the person uttering them is a “racist,” THAT is presuming “hidden thoughts” based on the comments made.

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