Georgia in play? Rasmussen says no (and Saxby’s cruising as well)

From Rasmussen Reports:

John McCain continues to hold a substantial lead over Barack Obama in Georgia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows the presumptive Republican nominee attracting 53% of the vote while his Democratic rival earns support from 43%. One percent (1%) of voters would opt for former Georgia Congressman Bob Barr who is running as the Libertarian candidate for President. Three percent (3%) of voters are undecided.

A month ago, McCain enjoyed a similar ten-point lead, 51% to 41%. Rasmussen Reports has conducted four polls in the Peachtree State this year and McCain has led by double digits in all four. Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss appears to be in good shape for his re-election bid.

McCain is viewed favorably by 60% of Georgia voters, Obama by 47%.

The current survey found that up to 6% of Georgia voters might consider voting for Barr. Most of these are currently McCain voters. If all 6% voted for Barr, the race in Georgia might be competitive. However, unless McCain is clearly headed for defeat nationally, it is unlikely that Barr will make enough of an impact to threaten the Republican winning streak in the state.

5 comments

  1. ChuckEaton says:

    Not sure if calling cell phones or not is really the issue. A good pollster is going to make sure each demographic group is appropriately weighted for the poll. I guess you could try to argue a young person who exclusively utilized cell phones may have different voting tendencies then a young person who also received phone calls by landline.

    You would have different age groups, women, men, blacks, whites, etc.. The pollster keeps calling until he reaches his quota for that group. I think one of the tricks / debates is how much weight to you assign each group.

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