Will McCain finish 3rd? Robert Stacy McCain thinks he might.
Looking at the SoS website, with 82% reporting it’s
Huckabee 34.5%
McCain 31.3%
Romney 29.9%
Precincts not reporting include:
16 precincts in Chatham where McCain leads slightly
21 precincts in Clayton where Romney leads slightly
43 precincts in Cobb where Romney leads
40 precincts from DeKalb where Romney leads
194 precincts from Fulton where Romney leads
13 precincts from Gwinnett where Romney leads
10:37 pm
Fox called Georgia for Huckabee.
As of 10:06
57% reporting
Huckabee 35.3%
McCain 31.5%
Romney 28.9%
Fox and CNN show 70% reporting with identical percentages for the three candidates. Can we call Georgia for Huckabee?
As of 8:36
18% reporting
Huckabee 37.1%
McCain 32.7%
Romney 25.8%
I love how CNN keeps talking about Obama sweeping Super Tuesday, but when you look at their tracker, it has Hillary winning every state where polls have closed except GA. I mean the only next step could Wolf Blitzer wearing a Vote for Obama t-shirt.
My guess is that Romney’s strength will be in the metro area. Cobb still has not reported and Dekalb and Fulton are notoriously late every election.
Look at Gwinnett juilo. Its clearly for Romney with like 50 precints in, so you are likely correct.
Buzz:
We all know Phuckabee lost right?
How else will we keep GOPeach away?
Good call Doug, I forgot to check Gwinnett. Needless to say I don’t think we’ll know the GOP winner until the last vote is counted in Fulton.
Maybe the WV nonsense backfired a bit on McCain.
Helping Huckabee to take delegates is clearly a mistake if it means his supports get a boost of optimism to bring them to the polls, and showing he isn’t totally dead in the water.
One could never know, but it could cost him a state like MO, plus give Huckabee an extra few delegates that could make him a player in a three split at the convention.
Such an outcome would leave me overjoyed, if the other option is a McCain win.
I’m wondering if Obama’s lead could actually increase as Fulton and Dekalb come in.
and Clayton.
Figures, I’m stuck in the one part of Georgia which is so hard-headedly conservative that they vote Romney.
Love ya, Metro ATL!
At this point I’d call it for Huckabee. Even with a lot of metro votes still out there, Huck’s got an awfully big lead.
Oh Noooooooo, Julio, the “conservative” endorsed by the Peach Pundit crowd and by the blabbering idiots of talk radio (except Boortz, ironically..) is NOT winning…oh nooooooooooo!
julio,
Almost all the precincts not reporting are in areas that Huckabee is coming in a distance third.
I think either Romney or McCain catches him, as the over 200 in Fulton alone should make up the difference.
Doug-
Maybe I’ve fallen into the Fulton/Dekalb trap, although I don’t think Romney can catch up anymore…maybe McCain. It’s an awfully big lead at this point and it looks like Fulton is the only county with less than 1/2 it’s precincts still out.
While Huckabee will come in third in Fulton, he’ll still get a decent chunk of the votes and there just aren’t enough to go around in Fulton.
Buzz, you were wrong on Huckabee winning his “last primary”. You might consider resigning from Peach Pundit now.
In fact, you likely CAUSED Huckabee to win more primaries tonight.
“WV nonsense?”
What ae you talking about?
NBC calls GA for Huckabee.
Bill,
Check the record, I was quoting Romney. 😉
Can we keep GOPeach from commenting on Phuckabee?
Oh.
SPEAKING of Romney, does anyone have a recorndign of the phone call he sent out today, maligning his opponent(s)?
I just did a calculation, if Romney maintains his current advantage reletive to Huckabee in Fulton, Chatham and Dekalb, and McCain does the same in all those counties, it will be a very very close race before the votes are counted. Of course if those are completely non Republican precincts, then it won’t be.
I wouldn’t call it for anyone, but would lean Huckabee.
Julio,
With the last couple of updates, I am ready to give Georgia to Huckabee, but it will end very close, and Georgia is basically a three way tie.
I am not all that displeased with the results. My only real support is for ABM, and having Huckabee win Georgia complicates his eventual coronation, so I declare victory.
Gotta give it to Huckabilly. He’s been the overachiever tonight.
He did well. GOPeach will hang around, that is my only regret.
http://abcnews.go.com/politics/elections/delegates?ref=ipb
Delegate Count
It is clear that Huckabee will not be the nominee as Peach had loudly proclaimed…The path looks clear at this point for McCain.
Thank God at least it is not Huckabee…
Gwinnett results Huckabee 27815 McCain 21624 Romney 28921
Just imagine how many votes Huckabee would have gotten in Gwinnett if Romney weren’t dragging votes away from him!!!! haha – I hope those Romney-ites enjoy that one.
HUCKABEE SWEEPING THE SOUTH …
just like Peach promised….. Any questions?
I keep trying to tell you people that I know things about our BASE that you do not know.
MONEY IS NOT EVERYTHING …. Some people actually still have principles they live by and stay devoted to no matter who mocks them and bashes them… you stay steady and lock in.
I want to thank ALL the HUCKABEE supporters out there who voted for HUCKABEE! You were smart! We still have work to do… We are still IN IT! NEVER GIVE UP… no matter what it looks like.
514-177-122
I’m just sayin that’s what it looks like
In the competition that counted the most, the Arizona senator had 613 delegates, to 269 for Romney and 190 for Huckabee in incomplete counting. It takes 1,191 to win the GOP nomination.
peach, you’re still in what? The Huckster is still in third place in delegate count and , barring a miracle, will not be the nominee. THANK GOD!!! Peach you bragged very loudly about how the Huckster would be the nominee! Can Huckabee’s base pull off a miracle? They have not so far. Not going to happen
The bottom line is that no candidate has received the majority vote. The evangelical vote is splitting three ways.
McCain needs to concentrate on finding a VP now because, unless there is a dramatic turn of events, he will be the nominee. I hope he has enough sense not to pick Huckabee. Huckabee brings too much baggage. I would find it extremely difficult to support any ticket with the Huckster on it.
Republican Presidential Nomination
RCP Average Intrade
McCain 42.8 95.0
Romney 24.5 3.0
Huckabee 18.0 2.3
Paul 6.0 1.3
RCP National Average: McCain +18.3
States left and delegate count:
W Winner Take All C Closed Primary
Louisiana 02/09 47 C
Washington 02/09 40
Kansas 02/09 39 C
Virginia 02/12 63 W
Maryland 02/12 37 C
District of Columbia 02/12 19 W C
Wisconsin 02/19 40
Texas 03/04 140
Ohio 03/04 88
Rhode Island 03/04 20
Vermont 03/04 17 W
Mississippi 03/10 39
Pennsylvania 04/22 74 C
North Carolina 05/06 69
Indiana 05/06 57
Nebraska 05/13 33
Hawaii 05/16 20 C
Kentucky 05/20 45 C
Oregon 05/20 30 C
Idaho 05/27 32
New Mexico 06/03 32 C
South Dakota 06/03 27 C
Jason Pye,
This morning you just wanta die.
After all your bloviating and and childish name calling, where did the votes lie?
Georgians and the South spoke and last time I looked, Huck was the guy.
Not to steal your thunder, but I write under only name, I will speak my mind and encourage you to do the same. But if we disagree, keep it on subject, no more insults or accusations. Free speech should be the stalworth of YOUR pursuit of constitutional Liberty. I like Mike and you don’t, but he ain’t dead yet. I am still waiting to hear which candidate you are supporting?
SC and FL are not in “the South?”
Hackabee will win Mississippi, but where else?
Hackabee is just as anathema to just as many folks as McCain is.
This is why the GOP is deservedly toast.
Georgians and the South spoke?
No one won a majority. Huckabee won Alabama by 4%, his home state of Arkansas by 40% . The rest of the states he won was a 2 -3 % margin. Not exactly a mandate.
Huckabee is still third in the delegate count behind Romney .
Huckabee has proven he has no appeal outside of the Bible Belt, with the exception of Iowa. Huckabee has no appeal outside of evangelicals and only garners 1/3 rd of that support.
The states that are left to vote are not in the Bible Belt.
Unless the trend drastically changes, McCain will be the nominee, Romney will finish second and the Huckster a distant third.
McCain needs to have his conservative base energized to support him. That is not happening now. Picking Huckabee as VP would not energize his base as Huckabee could only energize a third of the base and the other two thirds do not like the Huckster. Picking a VP like South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint would energize the conservative base.
DeMint has a great record opposing illegal immigration and a great conservative record over all. DeMint could get the base excited about a McCain Presidency. DeMint is young enough to run after McCain serves four years.
Onemadamerican, Huckabee is still third in the delegate count and the voting for the most part now turns to states outside the Bible Belt. Huckabee has proven he has no appeal outside the Bible Belt. Huckabee is dead and buried in third place.
I support Romney, but I am resigned to a McCain candidancy and have no qualms about supporting McCain as long as Huckabee is not his VP….
Huckabee supporters that still think the Huckster will win need to come back to reality and out of fantasy land..
Debbie:
You will be proven wrong.
The GOP has a death wish. The grasp is becoming unbreakable.
Common sense says that Mike Huckabee has hurt Mitt’s presidential bid. The fact is – HUCKABEE denies Romney the votes of TRUE LIFE-LONG DIE HARD conservatives.
Look at this….
MSNBC polling shows that among evangelical Protestants, a core constituent group among Republicans, the vote was roughly evenly split among Romney, Huckabee, and John McCain, each polling about 30%.
One clear conclusion of these results is that evangelicals, though conservative, cannot be regarded as a monlith.
THAT means that it has been highly presumptuous for the Romney people to say that, were it not for Mike Huckabee’s bothersome candidacy, he would be the natural recipient of the votes of true conservatives.
The Huckabee campaign could, with credibility, argue that it is Romney who should make way for the former Arkansas governor. Unlike Romney, Huckabee has ALWAYS BEEN PRO-LIFE and ALWAYS favored to a constitutional amendment defining marriage as one man and one woman for life. Romney’s bona fides as a conservative are clearly questionable, at best.
But, in spite of his suggestion that the Constitution be amended to conform to the Bible, Huckabee’s votes in the Bible Belt, where frontrunner John McCain has not been as strong–except in South Carolina.
Indy, who do you support?
Nice copy and paste, Peach but can you please include the links next time so we can read the entire article?
http://myviewmytake.wordpress.com/2008/02/06/news-flash-huckabee-is-still-in-the-race/
Indy is hoping for Joseph Stalin to rise from the dead.
And Huckabee and his followers are hoping to bring back the Spanish Inquisition on what it means to be a human.
Thank God Phuckabee was stopped . You know Peach gets really irritated when we call the Huckster Phuckabee so that was for you Peach.
There are 1008 delegates left in states that have not voted. In order to secure the nomination, McCain needs 578 of those, Romney would have to pick up 922 and Huckabee 1001. McCain will either win the nomination outright or go into a brokered convention and make a deal as the front runner. Time to face reality for supporters of other canidates.
I have also heard Dick Armey say on the news that Texas Sen. Kay Bailey-Hutchison was being mentioned as VP for McCain.
Bill,
But he is hoping for Joseph Stalin to be the catalyst to “rebuild” the Republican Party after his 30 years of purges and gulag and death camps.
I respect that he wants something better, but unfortunately, government is an elevator with a broken cable and failing breaks. It would be nice if we could release the brakes to fix them, but by that time things would be irrevokable worse.
debbie,
He probably has it, but in a brokered conventions the front runner is often times a big negative. (Just take a look at the WV convention).
If there is a Libertarian or Constitution Party candidate on the ballot, I will vote for him/her. Even better would be a new third party along the lines of Unity 08, but that effort is lagging the ballot access time crunch.
I have not discounted voting for Obama or Clinton, as the GOP is now the greater of evils.
There was a good chance that I might have voted for Thompson but he stupidly dallied until his window of opportunity was lost. There was a faint chance that I might have voted for Romney.
There is zero chance of me voting for Huckabee or McCain.
This expresses my POV perfectly —-
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IMAGES/CARTOONS/toon020508.gif
Debster –
You are simply degrading yourself when you refer to a viable and worthy candidate who was born in poverty and over came much opposition to become the only republican governor in Arkansas. He was re-elected and then followed his passion to run for president…
You my dear will not stop him or his supporters… so you should find someone else to slander!
This just in: Hillary’s campaign has just hired Debbie to begin campaigning for Obama. Hillary’s campaign is quoted as saying “you have to bring out the weapons with proven track records and Debbie is the best endorsing weapon out there. We hope she actively campaigns for Obama to help us secure the nomination.”
2 Thoughts for the day:
1) Like Huckabee (as I do) or not, give the man some credit. He won Southern states, despite having little money and getting little to no media attention since Florida (The networks were doing their best to make it a two man race – head to head is easier to comment on then head to head to head).
Plus, these states might still be “Southern” states, but look at Oklahoma and Missouri. He was 20,000 votes TOTAL (in both states combined) from pulling off both of these MidWestern states – again, with little money and media attention.
I’d suggest that Kansas is a possibile Huckabee supporter this Saturday, which, even though it doesn’t have a lot of delegates will keep his name in the media – which is what he needs the most. From there, Mississippi looks like a solid Huckabee state, get the rest of the W. Virginia delegates and possibly, even Texas.
No, I don’t think he’s going to win the nomination – but I could see him getting enough votes to end up 2nd to McCain, OR, preventing either McCain or Mitt from getting the majority (although that seems to be getting harder and harder to do b/c of McCain’s momentum).
2) Yesterday, there was some argument between Jace and someone else about WHO exactly Huckabee was taking voters from. They wanted some statistical proof – well, here it is:
http://www.evangelicaloutpost.com/archives/004216.html
Looks like polls show, as I’d suggested (being in this situation personally), that Huckabee backers will go for McCain at a 64% to 28% clip according to USA Today/Gallup polling. Yeah, hope that shuts those Mitt whiners up.
I should clarify some of my comment earlier…yes, he still lost Oklahoma and Missouri and since this isn’t horeshoes, close doesn’t count…BUT, can you imagine what the commentary would be today if Huckabee had pulled off Missouri AND Oklahoma too? He would have essentially won most of the south & midwest – it’s harder to argue he’s “regional” if you’re winning 2 regions.
The Iowa, Missouri, Oklahoma showings bode well for Huckabee being competitive in Kansas this weekend. Who knows about Louisiana – that one is shaping up in a crazy way (i.e. the blocking of Ron Paul delegates by the “unity” ticket – interesting)
PS: I don’t condone the anti-mormon comments on that site I linked to. I’m not one bit concerned that Mitt Romney is a Mormon – doesn’t bother me a bit.
HUCKABEE has vowed to us – his supporters to stay in until SOMEBODY get the nomination. We love him because he will not relent.
This is so rare in politics… most people just quit once the sense they are loosing. Not HUCKABEE! He models THE POWER OF FOCUS and LOYALTY!…
Excuse the analogy as it could really offend people but… I fear many republicans are political whores dancing around polls. They jump from one campaign’s bed to the next … whomever will make them feel good….
The HUCKABEE supporters are not with HUCKABEE because they want to be popular or because they feel jazzed because he is RICH or he is some SAILOR …. he is a LEADER with RESOLVE…
He knows his views will be scrutinized… and…..
so what????
The HUCKABEE supporters know:
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
“BUT, can you imagine what the commentary would be today if Huckabee had pulled off Missouri AND Oklahoma too”
Yes. It would be something along the lines of “McCain has commanding lead over Romney”.
Best news coming out of GA was that Saxby Chambliss and Johnny Isakson were left standing out in the cold with the “A vote for McCain is a vote for ‘my friend'” sandwich signs.
Ha ha ha ha – go back up to Washington and please please please DO NOTHING!
GOPeach – Huckabee has been mathematically eliminated from the nomination – take 2 minutes to look at the remaining states – see?
Huckabee is one of John McCain’s useful idiots right now and will likely earn his way to the VP on the ticket. And, of course, if needed at the convention, Huckabee will fall all over himself to pledge his delegates to McCain to push McCain over the top.
For Huckabee to continue to claim that he has a path to the nomination through claiming delegates in the remaining contests is factually dishonest on its face.
You SURE about that Rugby? Add 90 delegates to Huckabee’s delgate count (which is what McCain got for winning Oklahoma & Missouri) and the Huckster is in 2nd …but McCain still has a commanding lead. But still, Huckabee would be getting even more press.
*This is using the RCP Delegate Count – which is the best collective average in my opinion.
jeffgator – I will agree, Huckabee has no chance at jumping McCain, you are right about that. I think MOST Huckabee voters are going for him on the hope that he does well enough that he is involved, someway, somehow in the General (which essentially means VP for all practical purposes).
BUT – I don’t think McCain will pick Huckabee though. Gov. Crist is looking more and more like the guy I think McCain will go with (considering he’s on the campaign trail with McCain a lot as of late).
Jeffgator:
The act of putting Huckabee on the ticket would be met with trembling and trepidation on the part of McCain.
If it happens the IBD cartoonist needs to put another gun up labeled ‘Huck.’
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IMAGES/CARTOONS/toon020508.gif
…for those who missed it.
crist won’t be the vp–only 2 years as guv and questions about his personal life and a perception as also being more of a moderate–mccain is going to have to go w/ a solid, respected, even loved traditional conservative to to try to forestall a fracturing of the party–i would say thompson was the obvious choice if he had not sunk it up so bad as a prez candiate himself…
HUCKABEE will not “be put” on anything!
He still can take Texas, Louisiana, and Kansas…
Then there are the delegates who can be challenged…
We will not QUIT! It is not over.
GOPeach:
If Phuckabe the Huckster loses one more state you realize there is no chance for him to win the nomination.
You do know that correct?
I know we are in until there is a NOMINEE.
WE ARE IN … Not HE is IN!
You do know that correct?
HUCKABEE supporters are not fickle and disloyal.
WE STAND UNITED until it is 100% over!
So Phuckabee the Huckster wants to stay in for the purpose of staying in the race?
How is your head GOPeach? Long night?
At this point, I really want Huckabee to stay in. The more I hear Romney speak, the more I can’t stand Romney. Even though I can’t stand Huckabee, Romney has to be worse. I hope Tax Hike Mike beats Mitt John Kerry Romney.
Romney IS worse. If you cannot recognize a plastic candidate when you first see him, then you need to close your eyes and sniff…that burning smell is the Romney Action-Figure morphing into another form.
I am so good. Am I not good?
Did I not predict this exact finish (30-30-30) on this blog last weekend? Did I not??
Your lack of unity is the only thing uniform about this Grand Old Party ™.
Shall we all get used to saying “Madame President” yet?
so has huckabe won his last primary??
PEach said,”GOPeach // Feb 6, 2008 at 12:33 pm
Debster –
You are simply degrading yourself when you refer to a viable and worthy candidate who was born in poverty and over came much opposition to become the only republican governor in Arkansas. He was re-elected and then followed his passion to run for president…”
Except for the Republican part, he sounds much like Bill Clinton, except Phuckabee raised taxes more than Clinton did.
There is no way for the Huckster to win… He is fighting for 2nd place now-
GOPeach – You’re right, Huckabee can still win this on the merits.
Just need Mitt to get hit by a bus and McCain to go down in his sixth plane crash.