Seriously guys, after reading these polls by Phillip Morris I am really considering changing my tune on cigarettes. I thought a tax increase on smoking sounded like a good idea, but that was before I considered how we could just close the loophole that allows Wall Street investors to avoid paying taxes on their stock gains — I wonder how uncomfortable the Altria lobbyist was at the business roundtable luncheon that week when the rest of the Chamber got secondhand wind of that little idea?
Anyway, I bring this up to talk about John Barrow. Bill Shipp hinted last week that Bob Young of Augusta may be eyeing Paul Broun in a Republican primary instead of Barrow in the general election, and now comes word that Fleming might be doing the same thing. John Barrow may just be the biggest benefactor of Broun’s surprise upset, afterall Republicans forget that Barrow’s district does lean Democratic and now he’s a two term incumbent who has withstood hundreds of thousands of dollars of attack ads over a four year period.
How well has he withstood those attacks? Pretty well if you ask me. Even though only 12% of Georgia’s 12th district rate the job Congress is doing as Excellent or Good, nearly 63% give Barrow good marks (Very or somewhat positive) and only 5% feel very negatively about him. Sure 23% answer somewhat negative but they’ve seen more negative ads on John Barrow in the last 4 years than they have about the McRib Comeback Tour.
With Democrats controlling Congress and it seeming increasingly unlikely that they’ll lose that grip, Barrow should raise a significant amount of money this election cycle…even more than his pretty significant haul last time. Meanwhile, Broun finds himself in the minority party and in a seat that isn’t likely to switch whether he wins the primary or not (actually I would say less likely if he is not the nominee). Since I think it’s relatively easy for a guy like Bob Young to raise a million or so bucks regardless of whether he runs in the 12th or the 10th, why wouldn’t he want to go after someone in a Republican primary where those bucks go further and pack a bigger bang. But what do you guys think?