2008 Competitive House Race Chart.

Needless to say Ga 8 and Ga 12 are on the list. Marshall’s race is “leans Democratic” white Barrow’s is “likely Democratic.” From the
Cook Political Report.

Overall, the Dems have 13 leaning or toss up seats while the GOP has 17 such races.

Hat Tip: Political Wire

5 comments

  1. buzzbrockway says:

    Partisan Voting Index.

    The Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), sometimes referred to as simply a Partisan Voting Index (PVI), is a measure of how strongly an American congressional district leans toward one political party compared to the nation as a whole. It was originally developed in 1997 by the Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter, working with Polidata, a political statistics analysis firm.

    The index for each congressional district is derived by averaging the presidential election results in that district from the prior two elections, then comparing them to how the nation voted as a whole. The index indicates the more successful political party and how many percentage points higher than the national average for that party. It is published as a Letter+Number combination.

  2. Archibald Bulloch says:

    Interesting that there are only four non-freshmen on the Democratic side.

    As our Congressmen go, I think Cook got it right. Barrow will probably have an easier time than Marshall, especially in a Presidential year when African-American turnout will likely be much higher.

    A lot of folks forget that John Kerry won even the new version of the 12th District (without Athens) by a point. I think Barrow should be winning this seat with 55-56% of the vote, given the numbers and his moderate record.

    But, I expect Marshall to be in a close race again(probably no more than a 6% spread between him and Goddard), barring any sort of major screw-up by either candidate to make it uncompetitive. I wouldn’t give it to one candidate or another at this point.

  3. drjay says:

    “A lot of folks forget that John Kerry won even the new version of the 12th District (without Athens) by a point.”

    i do not belive that is an accurate statement

  4. drjay says:

    “In 2004, President Bush won the district with 50.4% of the vote”

    admittedly this was according to the burns campaign–but i have no reason to doubt its accuracy

Comments are closed.