McCain maintains momentum in new poll

The latest Fox News Poll shows Conservative Arizona Senator John McCain maintaining momentum ahead of Fred Thompson and just behind Rudy Guiliani. 

America years for authentic leadership that McCain and Guilani offer. 

The headline that was up was in jest to antagonize you Thompson folks! 

Remember – It’s a marathon not a sprint!  And that John McCain is a tried and true consistent conservative that can win in 2008. 

36 comments

  1. Holly says:

    I hate to break this to you, but Thompson already was in third in the last Fox poll, so there’s no such thing in this case as “falling.” He gained two percentage points, even. And he’s trending upwards (8-13-15 in the last three polls), whereas McCain has stagnated (17-15-17). Guiliani has bounced back and forth, but seems to be increasing again (24-22-29). Mitt Romney seems fairly stagnant right now(9-10-8).

  2. MidGaDawg says:

    Who is “Conservative Republican Arizona Senator John McCain”? I did not realize there was a conservative Republican by that name also! And what a coincidence that he’s running for President too!

  3. debbie0040 says:

    McCain is toast . He might as well accept that fact. Tell me, does anyone really believe GOP voters will vote for McCain after his strong support of the amnesty bill that was just soundly defeated?

    Rasmussen Reports paints a different picture of polling data. They were the only poll that predicted Bush would defeat Kerry in 2004.

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/2008_republican_presidential_primary

    2008 Republican Presidential Primary
    National Poll: Thompson 27% Giuliani 23%
    This week’s GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney earning 12% support and Arizona Senator John McCain attracting 11%. Romney is viewed favorably by 56% of Republicans nationwide and McCain is viewed favorably by just 55% (40% have an unfavorable view of the former frontrunner).

  4. UGA Wins 2006 says:

    This life long Republican wouldnt vote for McCain if he ran unopposed. I think someone is whistling past the graveyard with this entry. McCain destroyed his chances with the amnesty bill. Not a chance he becomes President.

  5. Chris says:

    The FNC/Opinion Dynamics poll has always had Thompson in third place so as Holly points out, its not a “fall”.

    Second, 30% of the people surveyed don’t know who Thompson is (about the same for Romney). For a candidate who just announced his exploratory committee 3 weeks ago, thats to be expected. For someone who has dumped millions of his personal fortune into the race that’s really bad news.

    Not on the Fred subject, I find it interesting they have been pitting Hillary, Rudy and Bloomberg against each other since March.

    and question #24 is the reason why we as Republicans need to impeach George Bush.

  6. landman says:

    Bull,you would be better served trying to project the positives of your guy,instead of trying to create a false story about Senator Thompson.
    You may also want to check the definition of conservative before you catagorize the two candidates you mentioned in your post as poster boys of conservatism, considering Mcain’s recent stances and Rudy’s penchant for dressing in drag and strolling down 42nd…………
    You did get one thing correct though Senator Thompson will win Georgia!!!!

    THOMPSON ‘O8

  7. Donkey Kong says:

    Bull, admit it. McCain won’t win. If you actually think he’ll win, let’s put some $ on it, why don’t we? 🙂

    (Um, for you attorneys out there…it is legal to wager on elections…right?)

  8. Holly says:

    Personally, I don’t care who Bull likes or doesn’t like. Everyone’s allowed their choice. But if you’re going to post an entry to this effect, I think accuracy is key.

    This post was trying to manipulate facts to get a point across, but the story didn’t match the data, so I felt the need to point out the problems I saw. You can’t “fall to third place” if you were there to begin with. You also cannot be “falling” or “not catching momentum” if your percentage is rising over the last three reporting periods.

  9. ToddH says:

    I believe that all the comparisons to Reagan will, in the end, only harm Thompson. Voters have been given an image of the next Reagan and when they see him they will begin to see anything but Reagan. Thompson has been an underwhelming speaker, lacks the executive experience and the seemingly obsessive drive to reshape the nation that Reagan always displayed.

    I don’t care for Reagan now, but I remember being a kid in the ’80s and he was just bigger than life. Reagan had the executive experience as Governor of California (which is basically like being President of a country), left behind acting in order to enter politics and positively change the country, and he could craft one heckuva speech. In the end with all the “Reaganesque” hype over Thompson I believe most GOP voters, especially once the meat of the campaign begins, will be underwhelmed and they will see him as the GOP Obama.

  10. jsm says:

    “America appears to yearn for real authentic leadership that McCain and Guilani offer.”

    ROFL! Thanks Bull. I needed that.

  11. CobbGOPer says:

    Besides, Thompson has yet to formally announce, and he hasn’t spent a dime yet on campaign organization or any activities in the primary states.

  12. Demonbeck says:

    I wonder if Erick is going to accuse Fox News’ pollsters or Bull Moose of accepting bribes.

  13. Seth Millican says:

    Real leadership. Conservative Senator…federally registered lobbyist – bad. More sugar coated rhetoric manufactured to cover up yet more of McCain’s hypocrisy. McCain condemns special interest groups publically. Bull Moose attacks Fred Thompson because he registered as a lobbyist.

    Here’s the rest of the story. What this rhetoric doesn’t tell you is that two of McCain’s main men fit into that category in a quite lucrative fashion. McCain’s campaign cochair is former Texas Congressman Tom Loeffler, who now lobbies for PhRMA, the drug industry association; Southwest Airlines; Toyota; and Martin Marietta. Gorton represents, among others, Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp., Weyerhaeuser and Fidelity National Financial.

    David Crane is now McCain’s senior policy advisor. Formerly? He was a senior executive at a lobbying firm that bill 52 companies for $10.4 million in 2006. They represented Delta Airlines, the Association of American Railroads, and the governments of Panama and Bangladesh. And Charlie Black, McCain’s “spin-doctor” after debates, is chairman of BKSH & Associates, with lobbying billings of $7.6 million in 2006, representing J.P. Morgan, Occidental and General Motors.

  14. Bill Simon says:

    “Real, authentic” is redundant. The reason why people use “real” and “authentic” to deliver a point is because the subject is usually neither one.

  15. Erick says:

    Bull, there’s a problem with your logic.

    You say Thompson has “slipped” into 3rd. Actually, in the Fox Poll, he’s been in third since May with Gingrich listed, but has increased to 15% from 8% since May and McCain has been stagnant between 15-17%.

    If you take Gingrich out, Thompson has gone from 9% to being tied in 2nd place with McCain at 18% – a level at which McCain has failed to move above.

  16. Seth Millican says:

    I’m getting worried. This is about the third or fourth time in a row Bill and I have been on the same side of a political race…what is this world coming to 😀

  17. debbie0040 says:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-192.html

    Poll Date Giuliani Thompson McCain Romney Gingrich Spread
    RCP Average 06/11 – 06/27 26.2 18.8 16.5 9.7 7.0 Giuliani +7.4
    FOX News 06/26 – 06/27 29 15 17 8 8 Giuliani +12.0
    CNN 06/22 – 06/24 30 19 18 9 8 Giuliani +11.0
    Cook/RT Strategies 06/21 – 06/23 20 14 20 10 5 Giuliani +0.0
    Newsweek 06/20 – 06/21 27 19 15 12 — Giuliani +8.0
    Rasmussen 06/18 – 06/21 23 27 11 12 — Thompson +4.0
    USA Today/Gallup 06/11 – 06/14 28 19 18 7 7 Giuliani +9.0

  18. Bull Moose says:

    You are right Holly, the FOX poll has always shown Thompson in third, I did not realize that until I took a closer look.

  19. CHelf says:

    I like Ann Coulter’s take on Thompson. He’s the GOP’s version of Obama.

    As for the comment of people not knowing who he is….hmm, a slap at NBC I guess. Not many people watch Law and Order?

    I believe Giuliani saw the same surge a few months back. Now he’s coming back down to earth. When people learn more about who Fred is or isn’t the numbers will change. And yes, that’s right. He hasn’t announced nor has he announced his plan or agenda if he becomes President. So people are flocking to him based solely on what he did a few years ago and not on what he plans to do in office.

  20. CHelf says:

    And why are we even debating a nationwide poll when we all know this poll means nothing? Slick Willard is the one faring the best right now since he’s on top or very high up in the key early states. Brag on Thompson all you want but he faces a huge uphill battle in NH and IA since Mitt’s built up quite an organization up there. Even Giuliani and McCain are having to redeploy and regroup.

    God forbid we have a MA vs. NY race….World Series all over again.

  21. debbie0040 says:

    McCain conservative? Really funny.

    Latest poll from Rasmussen:

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/fred_thompson_seen_as_most_conservative_gop_candidate

    Fred Thompson Seen As Most Conservative GOP Candidate

    Among Republicans, 49% now see Thompson as conservative (up from 42% a month ago). Forty percent (40%) say the same about Romney (little changed from 39% a month ago).

    McCain is now viewed as politically conservative by 31% of Republican voters. That’s down ten points from 41% a month ago. It’s worth noting that McCain and Thompson were virtually tied on this question among Republican a month ago. Now, there is an 18-percentage point gap between them.

    Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Republicans view Huckabee as politically conservative, but 39% don’t know enough to venture an opinion one way or the other.

  22. Bull Moose says:

    Let me be clear my fellow bloggers, I like all the Republican candidates running for President. We’re fortunate to have such a wide and diverse group of talent willing to make the sacrifice to run for public office.

    I personally believe that John McCain is the best, most qualified, and ready to lead candidate, though I know some of you disagree.

    John McCain has the most consistent record as a conservative Republican in the tradition of Teddy Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan.

    One of the main reasons that I think that Fred Thompson is going to have a tough time is because of these three words: FEDERALLY REGISTERED LOBBYIST.

    Now, I know McCain has lobbyists on his team as do ALL the Republican candidates, but only one candidate is actually a FEDERALLY REGISTERED LOBBYIST.

    One thing that we should all agree on as Republicans is that when the primaries are over and the dust has settled, we all must get behind the nominee if we are to have any shot at all in winning!

  23. Demonbeck says:

    Not every federally registered lobbyist is Jack Abramoff or Ralph Reed.

    Lobbyists enable legislators to make informed decisions on the issues before them. They often represent businesses that employ constituents and speak on behalf of a large number of citizens.

    Lobbyists who seek out earmarks are the same and are only asking the Congress to use one of the powers bestowed unto them by our Constitution to defy the demands of the Executive branch.

  24. debbie0040 says:

    John McCain has a major problem with the fact he was one of the major engineers and proponent of the Illegal Immigration bill millions of conservative Republicans just helped defeat. That is something McCain will not be able to shed himself of.

    I do agree that any of the GOP candidates would be better than the Dems, even McCain.

  25. Icarus says:

    I think that’s a much better headline, and most will agree that John McCain is maintaining his momentum.

    Those of us who haven’t lost total perspective realize that his momentum is a glide path into the base of a mountain, but he’s maintaining momentum none the less.

  26. Bull Moose says:

    Demonbeck, you’re missing the point. Average American Joe is already in a position to not trust a lobbyist as an elected official.

    I may not be making my point very clear. Personally, a lot of time would have to pass for me to cast a vote for someone who was a lobbyist because in the back of my mind I would be curious as to their motives in the great public good or for their former clients.

    None the less, McCain is continuing his momentum and as we move forward in this marathon election, his numbers will again trot steadily higher.

    John McCain is a real American hero who is ready to lead. He has a steady base of support from which to grow.

    I respect your desire to support your candidates and applaud you all for getting involved early in the process.

    Just remember, at the end of the day, any one of our candidates is better than the alternative and remember that we are going to come back together as a family when it’s all done!

    Don’t buy the hype on the immigration issue Debbie. Special interest groups who have questionable motives used fear to get you and others to oppose the bill. It was a good bill that would have secured our border and had an orderly process for addressing the millions of illegals currently in the country.

    Everyone, even me, even John McCain, doesn’t want amnesty, but doing nothing (which is what is going to happen now) is defacto amnesty and the problem now will only get worse.

  27. Bill Simon says:

    Doug,

    The directory of the thread is actually determined by the “Post Slug” which is in the innards of WordPress.

    So, if I wanted to, I could change the title of a thread as well as the post slug, and end-up with a differently named thread.

    However, to the original point, I was wrong on the change of the title on the “bribery” post, but not wrong on the original content. Erick used the word “nribery” in his original post, and that was seconded by RightofCenter…

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