Erick vindicated.

It turns out that Zogby online polls weren’t all that accurate:

As for the actual results, “the average error on the margin of victory was tightly bunched for all the phone polls. Rasmussen (25 races) and Mason-Dixon (15) each were off by an average of fewer than four points on the margin. Zogby’s phone polls (10) and SurveyUSA (18) each missed by slightly more than four points.” But the performance of the Zogby Interactive online polls “missed by an average of 8.6 percentage points in those polls — at least twice the average miss of four other polling operations I examined.”

Said pollster John Zogby: “We have more work to do” on online polling, but he added, “we believe it’s not only the wave of the future, but the future is very close to now.”

6 comments

  1. Fogle says:

    If you say so John.

    I’m going to put a poll in the field to find out how many people think Zogby’s an idiot. But I’m only going to stash it on a select few liberal websites and call a completely nonrandom sample of unlikely voters.

    I bet I can be closer than 8.6 percentage points.

    Seriously though folks, what do you honestly expect from someone who works for Arianna Huffington? That’s right… a whole lot of WRONGNESS!

  2. CHelf says:

    According to my contact at Mason Dixon, they ran over 100 races and referenda polls and were only outside the margin on 4 of them. I’d say that is pretty decent on accuracy.

  3. Adam Fogle says:

    Bill,

    I’m just messing around. As I’m sure you know by now, you cannot take me seriously when it comes to Zogby-related posts.

    See here , here and here.

    You see, like John Kerry, I voted FOR Zogby’s polls… before I voted AGAINST them.

  4. CHelf says:

    If anyone gets Campaigns and Elections magazine, there was an interesting article on Zogby’s online polls along with others.

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