Good morning and welcome to election day!
First of all, to those of you who are complaining about the robo-calls, that’s why I only have a cell phone. Follow the trend and you won’t have to worry about it!
For my predictions: Perdue wins easily and declares victory between 9:30-10 PM tonight. Casey Cagle wins earlier than that and declares victory between 9-9:30 PM. Likewise, Karen Handel will know that she is victorious around the same time (who is she running against anyway). Kathy Cox and John Oxendine also will win but those races are so far off my radar screen I almost forgot to vote in them.
Of the three, Gary Black, Brent Brown, and Perry McGuire, I think two will come so close (and demonstrate that with more money and earlier support they could have won) and one may indeed win.
We’ll have no problems with the Georgia House or Senate. The districts have been drawn to do what they are doing and that is to elect Republicans and Democrats in particular order and they will do so according to design.
Now for the fireworks! Republicans will lose A LOT of seats in the US House. I think when it is all said and done, Republicans will be sitting with anywhere from 195 to 203 seats. Hopefully, Republicans will get the message and quickly move to elect a new leadership line-up and get it’s act in order for 2008. They need to jettison obstructionists like Joe Barton from Texas who are bought and paid for by the special interests.
Georgia seems inclined to buck the trend and likely either GA 8 or GA 12 will elect a Republican to be a part of the minority. Seems like GA 12 wins that distinction.
In the Senate, I think the best case for Republicans is a 50/50 tie. Worse case scenario, it’s 51-49 for the Democrats. I find the race in Missouri particularly interesting because of the Michael J. Fox angle and the debate over stem cells.
So what does that mean? Republicans need to get with reality. Iraq is a mess and needs serious attention, not just rhetoric and platitudes. The economy may be improving, but not in a way that people are noticing. The culprit there in part is the deficit which is causing interest rates to increase. Also, as the top level of government cuts taxes (federal), other taxes and fees have gone up, like property taxes and college tuition. The party of less government and lower spending has blown the deficit out of the water. Finally, the demagoguery of moral issues has taken it’s toll. You can’t claim to be morally superior and be eyeball deep in scandal (DeLay, Ney, Foley, etc…) and you certainly can’t lie and try and cover it up and expect to have the trust of the people.
You may not like what I said, but that’s how I view things as of this morning. How do you view it. What’s going to happen and why do you think it will happen?