48% Turnout Expected

So saith Cathy Cox:

The 48 percent turnout prediction is in the typical range for a gubernatorial election year. It’s less than the 54 percent who showed up for the 2002 elections, but more than the 46 percent casting ballots in 1998.

The biggest turnout in Georgia history was the 2004 presidential election when almost 78 percent of the state’s registered voters cast ballots. Presidential elections historically draw more voters to the polls.

The turnout prediction is based on historical trends, absentee ballot requests, new voter registrations and reports from county elections officials across the state, according to a statement issued by Secretary of State Cathy Cox’s office

The ubiquitous Matt Towery weighs in:

Towery said a turnout of less than 50 percent has historically worked against Republicans, though he’s not sure that’s true anymore. Another unknown factor will be the strength of the African-American vote, which typically supports Democrats.

“If those two rules of thumb were to continue to be in play, it would tell us that the races that we’re going to see next week could potentially be closer than everyone might at first imagine,” said Towery.

16 comments

  1. memberg says:

    From the title, I thought this thread was going to be about the percentage of students who will resort to prostitution due to all of Sonny’s cuts to education.

  2. Fogle says:

    “From the title, I thought this thread was going to be about the percentage of students who will resort to prostitution due to all of Sonny’s cuts to education.”

    … or maybe the percent of democrats who bust out bumper-sticker-slogans rather than present any real ideas.

    The other 52% just whine a lot and never even make the “bumper sticker level.”

  3. Fogle says:

    “I guess there’s not a Democrats For Max group is there?”

    Not that I know of. You see, Max is tough on national security, opposes tax increases and wants to create jobs in Georgia – which automatically rules out most Democrats.

  4. RuralDem says:

    Great job at that bipartisan support. I hope for the district that Max doesn’t share the same twisted vision that you do. We need uniters in Congress not dividers.

  5. Fogle says:

    RuralDem,

    Max is certainly a united and loves nothing more than bi-partisan work. In fact, while they greatly disagree, Max and Denise Majette worked quite well together as freshmen in the 108th.

    The problem is that it’s so hard to find Democrats who – in practice, not just rhetorically – are tough on national security, oppose tax increases and are pro-job growth.

  6. RuralDem says:

    Where are you looking? Most Democrats in Georgia outside of Atlanta are not the typical “progressive” or liberal or whatever word they use today.

  7. Rick Day says:

    the misses and I early voted in Gilmer County yesterday.

    It was refreshing to find a slate of 3rd party alternatives. I took glee in voting ‘straight’ libertarian ticket bwahaha..

    Oh, and I voted NO on that lame constitutional amendment window dressed as a ‘protection for fishing’. Had a really good time talking to folks about what THAT one really meant (Thanks, PP!).

    I came across as ‘informed’. And so again, I thank you PP for providing balanced responses to political posturing and manipulation of the medium.

  8. gatormathis says:

    Kerry trashed the troops out of his own little nasty Heinz ketchup paid for mouth.

    His next socialist-nazi propaganda fiasco will probably be to go around with right hand held high in the air, saluting and hollering….HEINZ HITLER……HEINZ HITLER……HEINZ HITLER!!!

  9. defnotrep says:

    gatormathis,

    again….spin, spin, spin

    I try not to make this personal but when you add Nazi to your rant….it’s hard not to call you a name back.

    You have no credibility at all. All of you other Republicans should call him on this.

Comments are closed.