Jim Martin, the Democratic candidate for lieutenant governor, is in a statistical dead heat with Casey Cagle, his Republican opponent, according to a new statewide poll released today by Martin’s campaign.
In the first three-way trial heat conducted in the race, Martin and Cagle are separated by only 4 points, which is within the poll’s margin of error. According to the poll, Cagle draws support from 38 percent of voters to Martin’s 34 percent, while Libertarian candidate Allen Buckley receives 5 percent and 23 percent of voters are presently undecided.
A couple of thoughts on this.
1. I think no one would take it seriously if Martin was ahead of Cagle right now. So, kudos to them for being realistic with their polling.
2. It’s a candidate’s poll, so I tend always to think the news is much worse that the candidate’s poll advertises.
3. I’d like to see the actual questions. Should Martin release those, I would give much more credibility to his survery. But again, it matches the prevailing preception, which is a good thing for both him and us. I think there are a great many undecideds right now and his polling reflects that.
I am very interested in the Libertarian numbers. I’ve heard rumors of a poll from a reputable nonpartisan group that shows the Libertarian candidates for Gov. and Lt. Gov. both at between 6 and 7 percent, which can’t be good news for the GOP.