Conventional wisdom has been that Jim Marshall would have an easier time getting re-elected than John Barrow, even though Marshall actually has a less favorable district, demographically, for a Democrat. But is that starting to change?
Boeing has just terminated the C-17 program, a program that has a large number of employees in the 8th Congressional District. The move is a significant move because Boeing had warned the Congress that the program would end unless it got some good budgetary assurances for the program’s survival. No such assurances were forthcoming.
Beyond Boeing, there is a growing sentiment inside the local jewish community that Marshall was not as supportive of Israel as he could have been. In fact, a number of evangelical Christians and local jewish community leaders have expressed their surprise that Marshall seemed as indifferent to Hezbollah as he seemed to Israel.
I still think the race is his to lose, but things have gotten more difficult for Jim Marshall in the past week. Of course with it looking like the House of Representatives might just flip to a Democrat majority, Mac Collins cannot exactly run on a platform of being in the majority with all the benefits of such power.