Here are my predictions for tomorrow’s run-offs.
SoS: I think Karen Handel will win. Stephens just has too much ground to make up, and his attacks on Handel haven’t broken new ground.
Agriculture: Gary Black wins. Again, just too much ground to be made up for Kemp, without a real knockout punch thrown.
Lt. Governor: Jim Martin will win comfortably. I think Hecht’s attacks crossed the line and voters will make him pay for it.
SoS: I’m going to predict a victory by Darryl Hicks. He and Gail Buckner were close on 7/18 in a crowded field. Despite Hicks’ rookie status, I think he’s run a pretty good campaign.
4th CD: Despite the Insider Advantage numbers showing a solid lead for Hank Johnson, I think Cynthia McKinney will pull it out. Not because I want her to, I certainly do not, but I agree with those who say she didn’t take Johnson seriously and has only recently begun to energize her base. We may poo poo the “Johnson’s backed by Republicans” charge, but I think it plays well with certain elements of her base.
There is only one local race to be decided tomorrow in Gwinnett, that of County Commission District 4. Incumbent Kevin Kenerly has gone after challenger Jodie Rosser very hard in the last few days with mailings asking why she hasn’t cooperated with the ongoing corruption investigation that last week snared political consultant Bill McKinney. However, I’ve gotten emails from some people who think the good ‘ole boys are simply trying to protect their own and that Rosser is the agent of change needed in the district. With turnout in Gwinnett predicted to be about 7% I just cannot get a feel for how this race will end up. I won’t wimp out and say “too close to call,” instead I’ll say the power of incumbency pulls Kevin Kenerly through.
Those are my predictions, now let’s hear yours. Don’t just focus on the Statewide stuff – let’s hear about local runoffs as well.