Kingston challenger working crowds of almost a dozen

Rep. Jack Kingston, a seven-term incumbent and Peach Pundit contributor, is facing Democrat opposition for the first time since 2002, in the form of “United Methodist minister and self-described moderate Democrat” Jim Nelson, who has been visiting counties in the 1st District as he campaigns for office — although, from the size of the audiences he has been receiving, it sounds like he may be about the only one who knows that he’s running.

From today’s Brunswick News:

Perhaps indicating the battle he faces for attention against a seven-term incumbent, Nelson was greeted by a sparsely attended rally at the Historic Glynn County Courthouse. The event [was] attended by about 10 people.

Nelson told the gathering at the old courthouse that although he did not face primary opposition, he is encouraged by Tuesday’s returns. Nelson said he received only 4,000 fewer votes than Kingston did in his unopposed Republican contest. “If you add that together, we took 45 percent of the vote,” he said. “Being a newcomer running against a 14-year incumbent, that’s good.”

First of all, the “45%” number is close, but incorrect — Nelson received almost 18,000 votes to Kingston’s 25,000 (41.9% of the vote, and 7,000 less than Kingston, not the 4,000 he claimed to have trailed by), with both running uncontested. Second of all, there are three numbers which are far more important for him to keep in mind as he proceeds with his campaign: 42.4%, 72.1%, and 103,661.

The significance?

42.4% was the percent of the vote that Kingston’s last challenger, also unopposed, received in the primary election (2002). Not only is this a slightly higher percentage of the primary vote than Nelson received (by 0.5%), but the Democrat candidate in 2002 also received almost 4,000 more total votes in that election (21,818) than Nelson did now (17,991).

72.1% was the percentage of the popular vote Rep. Kingston went on to receive in the 2002 general election.

103,661 was the number of total votes Kingston received in that general election — a number pretty daunting to a challenger who must increase his primary votes almost 6-fold to achieve such a total, and doubly so to a candidate who is unable to muster even a dozen attendees at a “campaign rally.”

8 comments

  1. Demonbeck says:

    Jim Nelson is a figment of his own imagination. Same goes for his chances of winning in November.

  2. Demonbeck says:

    In fact there may be more comments on this thread about Nelson’s lack of a chance against Kingston than percentage points he gets in the general.

  3. landman says:

    Jack,will there until he decides to do something else.The guy is true and has delivered for his district.

  4. JasonW says:

    As a resident of Jack’s district, I can tell you that Jack’s running like he’s behind. However, It’s not really a question whether Jack will win or lose, it’s what percentage he will win by…60% or 70%. Jack is SO popular in his district, and he really has delivered in his district, although, I will say that his opponent, The Rev. Jim Nelson, is putting on perhaps the strongest campaign in Jack’s political career.

  5. Demonbeck says:

    “The Rev. Jim Nelson, is putting on perhaps the strongest campaign in Jack’s political career. ”

    Barbara Christmas says hello

  6. JasonW says:

    Barbara Christmas didn’t even have support in her OWN County (Camden) The mayors of all three municipalities origianlly endorsed her, then Jack entered the race, they all abandoned Christmas…she’s extremely unpopular in teh southnern part of the district.

  7. Demonbeck says:

    I’m just saying that Barbara Christmas was the toughest campaign in Jack’s political career.

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