I hope so.
First, we all know that the AJC doesn’t like Ralph Reed, but one thing they do like is the interest readers have in the Lt Gov race, which directly translates into ratings (i.e. readers) for the paper. So, in many respects, the AJC actually loves Ralph Reed!
Thus, I think AJC wants Ralph to win this Primary more than anyone, so the race continues for another few months.
With that being said, I am hoping that they call the race for Ralph Reed early on. Why, you ask?
Well, gentle reader, let me explain the “Kiss of Death.”
When a media organization, especially a lackluster one at that (i.e. the AJC), attempts to provide legit political analysis, it often backfires.
Example: In 1996, Louisiana,
Wood [CORRECTION, it’s Woody] Jenkins was running against Mary Landrieu. Early in the day, CNN called the race for Woody. The result was thousands of likely voters staying home and beginning their celebration early.
Back to Georgia … I don’t think calling this race early will necessarily keep Reed supporters home; however, I do think that the AJC’s analysis represents the Kiss of Death.
Bottom line: The AJC wants Ralph to continue his quest, so they can keep bashing him and get good ratings doing so, but they also want to feed off all of the drama they can from today.
Calling it early for Ralph would be huge. Endorsing Casey Cagle was huge (and more of a curse than anything, in my opinion), and we all know they don’t support Casey – they just wanted to create discussion and get peoples’ attention.
So, my recommendation to the AJC is go ahead and call it for Ralph. It’ll get people’s attention and perhaps deliver the blow that Casey needs.